Stocks for the Long Run Jeremy Siegal

Barron’s Interview:

We’re no where near a “bubble” Bonds have been long time losers. Words to get rich by.

free link:

https://www.barrons.com/articles/technology-stocks-internet-bubble-bonds-jeremy-siegel-8bcd6633?st=7pxn9m4wksjllky&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

{{ Seigel also recommended staying invested, and resisting the urge to market-time. If you owned an S&P 500 index fund when the book was published [in 1994] and held on to it, that investment has grown exponentially, as the index has gone from just under 470 to about 5550 now, a gain of nearly 1,100%. Nvidia, meanwhile, has become the third-most-valuable company in the world, worth more than $3 trillion.

A passive approach to investing, which Siegel advocates, ensures that you will continue to own America’s most dominant companies in vibrant industries. Siegel, also a senior economist at the investment firm WisdomTree, said he remains a “strong believer in indexing,” adding that “it’s hard to beat an index portfolio no matter how you do it”—especially once you factor in fees for an actively managed fund. }}

Actually, a buy & hold investment in the S&P 500 has grown a lot more than 1,100% in the last 30 years – with dividends reinvested it’s 1,977% – almost 20-fold. You’re not going to do that with an i-bond

intercst

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To pick a nit, that low was at the bottom of the 1982 bear market. By 1994 the S&P was already up to 1,000, making your gain to date about 450% :slightly_frowning_face:

Plus dividends.

DB2

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It’s always easy to find someone to agree with you, as long as you go looking for them.

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I checked with DQYDJ. According to them, from June 1994 to June 2024 with the total return with dividends reinvested is 1963.4%

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I read Siegel’s book back in 1994 when it was first published and took the advice to heart. I haven’t had a need for employment since. {{ LOL }}

intercst

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S & P puts the Jan 1, 1994 close at 472.99. What source are you using?

intercst

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Maybe if you would have read Ben Graham’s book you could have retired earlier. (LOL)

LOL is right, had he read Graham, he might have been able to retire before he was born! :rofl:

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I’ve often wondered, if I had the knowledge of the “arithmetic of FIRE” at say age 16, how would it have changed my decision making up through say age 25?

Perhaps a job as an union electrician with overtime pay would have trumped Engineering?

I have a friend whose daughter went to college to study Mechanical Engineering. By Thanksgiving break she decided college wasn’t for her (no problems academically, her grades were excellent) and left for a Mechanic’s internship at a Subaru dealer. Within 12 months, she had passed all her ASE certifications and was making $80.000/year. After a couple of years at the dealership, she’s now decided to return to college to study Biotechnology.

intercst

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My bad; I was looking at inflation adjusted numbers. Which I suppose are accurate in their own way.

DB2