That Was Ugly, But So Far Survivable

About once a month – typically around the first of the month – I update a household net worth tracking spreadsheet. Given the exceptional market decline on Thursday and Friday, I re-ran the spreadsheet with new numbers as of today. I’m glad I did, because it reinforced the reason I keep the spreadsheet in the first place.

First: the bad news. After Thursday’s & Friday’s declines, my household’s net worth is now down 7.7% calendar year to date, and it’s down 12.1% from the high water mark in the tracking spreadsheet.

Next: The not-so-bad news – and a key reason I keep the spreadsheet in the first place. The overall net worth value is still ahead of where it was in the July 1, 2024 update. So as brutal as the past few days have felt, they haven’t been financially fatal, and they haven’t set us back more than a year.

In addition, our stock portfolio has generated more in dividends calendar year to date than during the same period last year (though it remains to be seen if those trends continue, given the current elevated uncertainties that companies face).

Put it all together, and this past week was certainly ugly, but so far, it seems survivable. Here’s hoping it remains that way.

Regards,
-Chuck

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Share prices do seem to be recovering somewhat today.

Is that a dead cat bounce? Will more news give us more declines? Or recovery?

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Buy on rumor, sell on news.

If Wednesday tariffs go into effect, then more selling on the news will occur - just like the rumor that tariffs would not be as bad as they turned out caused the market to briefly gain next week.

All indications point to more “news” this week.

Hawkwin
Staying mostly in cash.

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Hi @XMFBigFrog,

Today was a roller coaster. This is a graph of our portfolio today in 2 minute increments:

From zero to -5.25% then positive 2.66% then wiggling for the rest of the day.

Does that help you?

Gene
All holdings and some statistics on my Fool profile page
Profile - gdett2 - Motley Fool Community (Click Expand)

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@Hawkwin and @pauleckler — your guesses are at least as good as mine, my friends.

Personally, right now I’m thankful that:

  • My personal balance sheet is debt-free.
  • The money to cover nearly all the expected undergraduate college costs for my currently college-aged kids is in CDs in their 529 plans.
  • I have a 3-month emergency fund in a savings account.

Regards,
-Chuck

Hi @gdett2

Thanks, my friend.

Regards,
-Chuck

Yep, a single fake news tweet caused the market to swing by $2 trillion dollars - biggest daily swing since 2020.

How is that for uncertainty!

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Hi @Hawkwin,

And today:

I wonder what it will look like when the uncertainty is lifted?

Does that help you?

Gene
All holdings and some statistics on my Fool profile page
Profile - gdett2 - Motley Fool Community (Click Expand)

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Then SUDDENLY, some of the uncertainty goes away, probably temporarily but I will take what I can get.

Today, a 10%+ swing from low to high.

Does that help you?

Gene
All holdings and some statistics on my Fool profile page
Profile - gdett2 - Motley Fool Community (Click Expand)

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