Some of the companies involved say they will have the first trucks without drivers in the cab on America’s highways by the end of next year. Those include Aurora, which has partnerships with FedEx and Werner Enterprises, and TuSimple, which has joined up with UPS and Ryder.
Self-driving trucks are like ocean-going container ships. They are good on long, straight roads but have more difficulty with crowded, complex areas like cities or harbors.
The container ships stop outside a harbor and a professional local pilot steers the ship into the harbor. The pilot is an expert in navigating his local waters and doesn’t go on long trips.
I think the shipping companies will use the self-driving trucks for the long interstate distances between warehouses outside cities. A human driver will drive from point A (the manufacturing plant or unloading dock at the harbor) through the city to the warehouse (Point B) near an interstate. The human will disembark at the warehouse. A robot will then drive the truck the long distance on interstates from Point B to Point Y (the destination warehouse outside a city). Humans will then drive the delivery trucks to the ultimate destination (Point Z) inside the city.
Self-driving trucks are like ocean-going container ships. They are good on long, straight roads but have more difficulty with crowded, complex areas like cities or harbors.
One of my current holdings (Suncor Energy) uses them in the oilsands. The GPS tells them where to go.