150 day sma SPX

It looks like it works very well when to go bullish. Maybe someone could test it. I don’ know how.

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No worries. The bear is over. All good now, no more fear, see CNN’s combined index:

https://edition.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed#fng-faq

More seriously: Wow, hard to believe for me how quickly fear subsides while the future looks so bleak (interest rates, inflation, commodity bubble, China…), leading to the age-old question: Are they all blind? Or am I the blind one?

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^SPX or perhaps you meant SPY, 150 market days or perhaps you meant calendar days?

No matter, you can play here for free, it’s a great site:

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/test-market-timing-model…

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No worries. The bear is over. All good now, no more fear, see CNN’s combined index:

https://edition.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed#fng-faq

More seriously: Wow, hard to believe for me how quickly fear subsides while the future looks so bleak (interest rates, inflation, commodity bubble, China…), leading to the age-old question: Are they all blind? Or am I the blind one?

Ok. I’ve been thinking: Can we really trust these numbers? Are things really that bad? Bubble this. Bubble that, China, Inflation? Maybe it’s just hype? Are the numbers we’re seeing what’s really happening? Now, as to why “The Establishment” would say it’s sooooo baaaaad, when it’s not really that bad as experienced by The Peasants, I cannot say. Why would they undermine their credibility? (I mean deliberately) We know business and Gov do make stuff up or misrepresent things sometimes and feed it to us so we can be manipulated but it seems to be having, if not a reverse effect, not the desired effect.

I’ve been thinking along this line since the stock market turned sharply higher a few weeks ago. Things that make you go Hmmmm…?

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