Finding the next black swan epidemic

Analytics for Investigation of Disease Outbreaks (AIDO) is a decision-support tool designed to enhance situational awareness during unfolding disease outbreaks by providing the user with detailed background information on historical outbreaks.

https://aido.bsvgateway.org/?utm_source=STAT+Newsletters&…

I hope that the METARs who follow and share the newest data on potential outbreaks will find this interesting.

Wendy

Here are some other diseases to become familiar with.

https://grist.org/health/the-disease-after-tomorrow/
... the environment harbors dozens of other carriers of illnesses you’ve probably never heard of. They come from bugs, shellfish, and even soil. With global temperatures rising, well-known vector-borne illnesses are becoming more common, and other, lesser-known diseases are spreading into new areas.

These illnesses will “continue to tax our public health and medical care systems for years to come,” experts from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or CDC, wrote in a 2016 analysis. “The question remains whether we will be prepared.”

This field guide to tomorrow’s climate-driven diseases introduces you to some of the carriers that are growing in number and expanding into new parts of the U.S. as the environment changes. The viruses, bacteria, fungi, and parasites they spread can cause joint pain, skin lesions, long-term memory problems — even death.

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This field guide to tomorrow’s climate-driven diseases introduces you to some of the carriers that are growing…

Maybe. Singapore sits right on the equator and is doing quite well health-wise.

“In healthy life expectancy, the statistics that refers to the number of years people live in full health, Singapore is ranked 2nd in the world at 73.9, behind only Japan at 74.9”
https://borgenproject.org/10-facts-about-life-expectancy-in-…

DB2

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Black swan events are unpredictable events. If you find the next black swan event, then it is no longer unpredictable and therefore not a black swan event.

PSU

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Singapore sits right on the equator and is doing quite well health-wise.

…and has done far more than most places to diminish climate change and its attendant effects.

"Singapore recognises [sic] that climate change and rising sea levels in the decades ahead will have major implications for its low-lying coastline. It estimates that the nation will need to spend $100 billion over the course of the next century to address the issue. In its 2020 budget, the government set aside an initial $5 billion towards a Coastline and Flood Protection Fund. Singapore is the first country in Southeast Asia to levy a carbon tax on its largest carbon-emitting corporations producing more than 25,000 tons of carbon dioxide per year, at $5 per ton.

To reduce the country’s dependence on fossil fuels, it has ramped up deployment of solar panels on rooftops and vertical surfaces of buildings, and other initiatives like building one of the world’s largest floating solar farms at Tengeh Reservoir in Tuas."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Singapore#Climate

Pete

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