Graydrake's Portfolio Update through April 2025

I agree with Mess’s comments. in Ben’s March Portfolio Update thread. Much of the power of Saul’s Investing Discussion comes from our opportunity to examine, understand and perhaps adopt the analytical processes flowing out of the detail contained in the monthly reports. The pain of losses is eased with the knowledge gained through examining the process being used by others here to effectively manage portfolios through market retractions.

I began the Saul process in mid 24, and began documenting holdings and performance in the community format in 25. My heavy use of a spreadsheet database update monthly has been rejected when posted, so I will not be posting this data unless requested. Also I must admit a few holdings fall outside the perimeter of Saul’s structured knowledge base.

I cut and paste directly out of my Schwab account into Excel and combine the weight of option positions for this report.

Just to provide some understanding, with no intention to influence any member’s process, 95% of my entries are based on my database’s combined value weighting of a number of metrics with a focus on revenue growth. My exits however will perhaps draw some screams here. I believe history repeats, and great stocks run in channels driven primarily by their metrics, but also heavily by external market influences. With this belief, I exit or partially exit (and rarely enter) many/most tickers when their price moves irrationally above the historical channel their growth metrics and the market parameters have defined.

The next update will focus on portfolio moves, and not on personal issues.

Thank you, Saul, for your vision, and selfless contribution to this community, and to all those who diligently offer insight for all to examine and apply. My time here examining the logic you share has forever reshaped my investment process.

Gray

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This post is a supplement to my April Portfolio update with comments on process.
As mentioned earlier, I have been a member of Saul’s group approaching two years, began trading the system in mid-2024 and began formally documenting performance in 2025.

Over this time, I have been working on an evolutionary process to improve my entry and exit decision making. This activity includes Saul’s concepts but also attempts to focus on best acknowledging my personal skills and weaknesses.

The process includes a database of many/most of the tickers discussed here and other hypergrowth stocks identified via other sources. Each ticker in the database is then numerically rated monthly in key growth, profitability and value categories with a rating I call Total Metric Targets Achieved.

This rating is key in identifying which tickers are deserving of a deeper look but are not dominant in determining entry and exit decisions.

I break the total number of tickers in the database into Priority 1 and Priority 2 tickers and then only spend monthly time in the Priority 1 category. I do not totally remove most poorly performing tickers from the database, because great companies from yesterday, may become a great company tomorrow.

The attached cut and paste is the rating of the companies in Priority 1, both those in which I have active positions and those that have been ignored.

One perhaps significant factor is that a perfect Total Metrics Achieved Rating is 64, and you will note the best rating for this month is NVDA at 45.
If members indicate this process development offers value, I will attempt to expand on its use May’s Portfolio Update.


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