OT-Elon

Maybe you should not so easily believe in words? Maybe people actually do lie?

Yes, sometimes they do. But what does this have to do with anything? Are you saying that Musk was lying? On what evidence? For some reason you think that he wasn’t “Still committed to acquisition” at the time he wrote that? Things change.

Now, from his more recent words and actions, it’s clear that he is looking to walk or negotiate changes to the deal, or maybe he’s just trying to get more information from Twitter. I imagine that as things change, things will change. What do you imagine?

We know very little for certain.

-IGU-

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He is also, with every fiber of his being, contemptuous of mortals and their laws.

Can’t help noticing that everybody making these sorts of accusations has no evidence whatsoever.

In this thread I provided pointers to several hours of video of Musk talking about stuff. Surely somebody who is “contemptuous of mortals and their laws”, not just casually but with “every fiber of his being” must show that. I mean, it must be obvious, right? So please tell me, what do I need to look at to see what you see?

-IGU-

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mungofitch writes:
Well, no, to doubt it [accusations of criminality] is a cult statement.
Really? So you believe there is some evidence of these criminal acts by Musk?

Maybe the $156m he saved by violating securities law by not reporting his stake building in Twitter
until 11 days after the legal deadline having already passed the reportable threshold?

Don’t know. That’s pretty recent. What’s the law? Who has accused him? Is the alleged violation criminal? Would different reporting have actually cost him money? I haven’t seen anything official on this, just accusations on social media. And we know how reliable those are.

It’s also reasonable to ask how this sort of violation is typically handled. Trial? Jail time? Wrist slap? Fine? Nothing at all?

Meanwhile, if there was a violation, who actually made it? Was Musk hovering over his E*Trade app, making purchases himself? Then blatantly ignoring the rules? Or did he delegate it to some broker, who screwed up for some reason? Maybe it was several brokers who didn’t coordinate properly? I have no idea. Do you?

Violating the Twitter purchase contract terms is just a contract violation, but it’s a 10 digit ripoff–huge points for scale.
Great investment opportunity though: buy now at $34.20, wait for the class action suit, collect the extra $20.

This is, of course, all in your imagination at this point. But if you think it’s such a great investment opportunity, jump right in.

Illegal violations of the consent agreement to have material tweets reviewed by Tesla legal staff.
(he freely admits that he didn’t, and it’s a matter of public record that he was required to)

Um, er, no. The SEC have been pretty incompetent on this front so far. They’ve made accusations, but the judge told them to go fix their agreement and they’ve been quiet since. But even if Musk were doing what you claim, would it be criminal?

The old “funding secured” announcement for stock manipulation and material false statements to investors, and related issues.
Contempt.

Not going to fly either. That was settled strictly because the SEC was holding Tesla hostage, not because Musk did anything wrong. The only damage to investors was due to the SEC, not Musk. And the truly hilarious thing is that the settlement basically forced Musk to make an additional TSLA stock purchase now worth >10x what it was then. So the SEC screwed investors and handed Musk tens of millions of dollars in the exact opposite of punishment. A bunch of ineffective morons.

He was not held responsible for the bailing out of his brother’s soon-to-be-defunct company with other people’s money, so I suppose one can’t call that illegal.
It was pretty obviously a stitch up among buddies to the detriment of existing minority shareholders, though.

Not his brother’s company. In any case Solar City was in trouble only because it was the target of a short-seller attack, not because there was anything wrong with the company. The only detriment in taking over Solar City was to short-sellers, and they deserved to be screwed. Criminals like Jim Chanos.

A large majority of Tesla shareholders voted for the Solar City deal. And these were shareholders not named Musk or anything like it. So who should be held responsible in your universe? And where was the criminality?

Then there are all the flatly false announcements of products that don’t exist, he knew didn’t exist, and some of which can never exist as described.

Again, you have no idea what you’re talking about. And you’ve wandered far from criminality.

Some people might have taken the Optimus dancer seriously.

Like maybe all the new employees that Tesla is paying to work on AI? Maybe some of the same people who at one time didn’t take seriously the notion of landing rockets on their tails, but now don’t want to look stupid again? You don’t think Tesla is working on a robot? Or you think that if they don’t have a prototype this year that’s criminal?

The 2019 billions in capital raising (dilution which was of course flatly announced would never happen) was probably not hurt by the “million robotaxies by 2020” promise.

Oh, spare me! You’re digging deep into complete nonsense. Announcing you have no intention of raising capital today and then changing your mind when business conditions change is not criminal. And, like all Tesla capital raises, it was oversubscribed instantly.

And just who are you quoting there when you write “million robotaxies by 2020”? Not Musk. He did say that there would be that many cars with the hardware capable of being robotaxis when the software was ready, but that’s not the same thing, is it?

You’ve gone completely off the rails here. Not only is there nothing related to actual criminality, most of the wild accusations are pulled straight from the tabloids.

I’m guessing that since you have no interest in investing in any of Musk’s companies that you don’t spend any time doing research. So you just pick up your impressions from the popular press and similar. So why pretend to actually know anything about this? You’re listening to the hyenas and imagining that gives you some knowledge of what the lions are doing. Just don’t.

-IGU-

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Maybe the $156m he saved by violating securities law by not reporting his stake building in Twitter
until 11 days after the legal deadline having already passed the reportable threshold?

OK. If reporting on time is important for price discovery, then why SEC allows someone like Warren and Berkshire exemption?

What Musk is exposing is most laws are toothless, they just levy some useless fines. These guys will pay the fine and walk away.

Don’t get mad at Musk for exposing the loopholes. For ions, wallstreet bankers walked free, never paid a praise. How can one suppose those bankers but selectively have outrage against Mustk?

I mean, how many gentlemen of this board and WEB supported WellsFargo management’s criminal behavior of opening bank accounts on my name. What is the justification? No harm done?

Those who defend real/ criminal actions suddenly find Musk behavior criminal reeks hallow.

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He is also, with every fiber of his being, contemptuous of mortals and their laws.

Can’t help noticing that everybody making these sorts of accusations has no evidence whatsoever.
In this thread I provided pointers to several hours of video of Musk talking about stuff.
Surely somebody who is “contemptuous of mortals and their laws”, not just casually but with "every
fiber of his being" must show that. I mean, it must be obvious, right? So please tell me, what do I
need to look at to see what you see?

I agree that the statement is exaggerated.

But nor could one say that there is no evidence whatsoever.
Whether he says insightful things in a video doesn’t speak to the question either way.

There is no doubt that Mr Musk is a prodigious liar, often about material financial matters that affect others to his benefit and their detriment.
He is plainly not particularly concerned with following the rules or laws if they get in the way of one of his personal goals.
The evidence is ample and and widely known, though of course some choose not to see it, or excuse it as a mere trifle.
He is, after all, A Great Man.

That habit does not make him contemptuous of others with every fibre of his being.
For example, I am inclined to take him at his word when he says he believes that colonizing Mars is in the best interests of humanity at large.
He may or may not be right, but I have great respect for the time and effort and money he is putting into that goal with seemingly honourable motives.
And great energy and skill.

An overstated case is a weakened case. His behaviour is often contemptible, but certainly not always so.
Yet for society to survive, someone has to call him (and his ilk) on his poop once in a while.
The world would probably be a better place if he got his fingers very badly burned on his next lapse to illustrate to him that other people aren’t just cardboard cutouts.
As with his blind fans, it might not work: the capacity of a human to not see is almost limitless.
But even if he doesn’t take a moral or societal lesson, he might assess the personal pros and cons differently thereafter.

As an unrelated observation, sundry studies suggest that sociopathy is between 4 and 21 times as prevalent among CEOs as among the general population.

Jim

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IGU

And just who are you quoting there when you write “million robotaxies by 2020”? Not Musk. He did say that there would be that many cars with the hardware capable of being robotaxis when the software was ready, but that’s not the same thing, is it?

You are mistaken. This is what Elon Musk said about robotaxis in 2019.

https://www.engadget.com/2019-04-22-tesla-elon-musk-self-dri…

Elon Musk in 2019: “If you fast forward a year, maybe a year three months, we’ll have over a million robo-taxis on the road.

Also,

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/22/elon-musk-says-tesla-robotax…

Elon Musk in 2019: “I feel very confident predicting autonomous robotaxis for Tesla next year,” Musk said on stage at the Tesla Autonomy Investor Day in Palo Alto, California. They won’t be “in all jurisdictions, because we won’t have regulatory approval everywhere, but I am confident we will have at least regulatory approval somewhere, literally next year,” he said.

Rob

27 Likes

You are mistaken. This is what Elon Musk said about robotaxis in 2019.

Sorry, no. That’s what Engadget and CNBC reported Musk said. Often completely false. Point to the actual source.

And sure, Musk has made predictions many times about vehicle autonomy that have proven to be overoptimistic. So what?

His robotaxi prediction was certainly wrong, but that there would be robotaxis on the road is not what he said. He said that the hardware in the million cars would be up to the task. And, soon after, he added that if it turned out that the hardware in those cars was not sufficient to autonomy, when it happened, that Tesla would upgrade their hardware for free.

-IGU-

Hey dude, I used to be in the venture capital business, for many years. Tech stocks.
I’ve done more than one tech buyout deal at over $100m, both as buyer and as seller.

Oh, good. Then you have way more to go on than I do. At least in the way of experience and context. Of course, those were tiny deals compared to this, and you clearly know nothing of Musk, so that limits your understanding somewhat.

So what’s your excuse for this weak level of analysis based on pretty much nothing? You keep pretending you know Musk’s motivations for his actions. Why? You know nothing about him. If you spent time in VC, you probably think he’s like all the other crooks you did business with. Seems unlikely to me.

I’ve been there, and read much of the contract text that is available on this deal.

That’s good. I’ve read the contract text too, but I don’t pretend that I understand the law, either what’s written or the relevant case law. I get the general drift, but it’s the details that matter.

So, what’s the situation?
He’s breaking a contract he has signed up for.

Well, sure, in a way. He’s asserting that they broke the contract first. So this is his response. You seem to think he’s just making this up, but I don’t think this is something you can know.

As I see it, Musk’s recent filing really means, I want my lawyers to talk to your lawyers and negotiate something because I think you’re screwing with me. Twitter’s response is let’s skip that and just go to court, meaning either we didn’t screw with you so don’t screw with us, or we think we can get away with screwing with you because you messed up the original contract. Do you see it different? You certainly have more context to interpret this form of deal negotiation.

But it’s dishonest and dishonourable.

Only in the sense that punching a bully is dishonorable. I don’t see why you imagine you can be sure of motivation. You have no idea what has been communicated to Musk, or by whom. It’s entirely possible that the Twitter board is as dysfunctional as Jack Dorsey has said it is.

It’s not a federal penitentiary kind of offence to flat-out violate a firm contract. I don’t claim otherwise.

Actually you were describing this while you were throwing around nonsense about Musk’s “criminality”. So yes, you did claim otherwise, at least by implication.

Your concluding with “it seems he’ll swipe billions when it suits him” is just nonsense. Completely unsupported by anything.
I’m interested—how do you figure? Have you read any of the documentation or communications?

Can’t say I’ve read everything, but certainly a bunch of stuff that I think I have some chance of understanding. In any case, I see no evidence that Musk has ever swiped a penny from anybody. You are just making this up. There has been no resolution to this Twitter thing and there’s no clarity on what’s going on, so your claim must be based on something that happened in the past, right? Or is it just completely made up?

You are making all sorts of attributions of motive without any factual basis whatsoever. Simply libel, I’d say. Stop it. And disingenuous posturing about how it’s all well known and obvious is just your imagination as well. The allegations of fools are not facts.

Whenever there is some hand wringing about what’s right or wrong to do in a business situation,
the clearest “Occam’s razor” test is one that I owe to the insight of my estimable spouse: “What does the contract say?”
That about covers it.

Yeah, so what do you do when you’ve decided the other guys have been violating the contract?

The question raised was not whether he was an accomplished mover and shaker, but whether he is deserving of contempt. Yes, without doubt.

And yet all your contempt is based on made up stuff. You haven’t yet pointed to a single fact. All you have are claims of evil motivation, supported by nothing.

You were pointedly silent on his most recent violation of securities laws on disclosure, I note.

It was not part of what I was responding to. I asked some questions about it in my previous post. Among other things, I’ve seen nothing but complaints from random parties, nothing factual. Have you?

-IGU-

3 Likes

There is no doubt that Mr Musk is a prodigious liar, often about material financial matters that affect others to his benefit and their detriment.

Then point to such evidence instead of just repeating insults with no basis. I don’t believe you have anything or you would have provided evidence by now.

And, if you’ve followed his career at all, you would know he doesn’t particularly care about money. What he cares about is getting stuff done.

He is plainly not particularly concerned with following the rules or laws if they get in the way of one of his personal goals.

He’s certainly impatient with what he thinks are stupid rules. Aren’t you?

The evidence is ample and and widely known, though of course some choose not to see it, or excuse it as a mere trifle.

And yet you never provide a shred of it. I know of many accusations, but no evidence of actual wrongdoing. I even know of a possible example of lawbreaking when a California bureaucrat was being particularly stupid, but it was about the same level of issue as exceeding the speed limit for a short time. Criminality!!!

As with his blind fans, it might not work: the capacity of a human to not see is almost limitless.

As you are so eloquently demonstrating. Evidence, please. Your repeated baseless assertions are beyond tedious.

-IGU-

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Don’t know. That’s pretty recent. What’s the law? Who has accused him? Is the alleged violation
criminal? Would different reporting have actually cost him money? I haven’t seen anything official
on this, just accusations on social media. And we know how reliable those are.

Ah, there is none so blind as he who will not see.

Hey, don’t believe me.
Do your own calculation, let me know how it turns out.

What date did he go above the reportable threshold of ownership? Public records.
What date did he report his stake building? Public records.
Was his reporting date well after the date that reporting became mandatory? Yes, around 11 days, give or take a few.
Was the law therefore broken? Yes, unequivocally.
Let me know if you come to any other conclusion.
Seriously, do the arithmetic yourself. Let me know what excuse you choose.

Further:
Did the price jump when it became known that he was building a stake? Yes, about 28% that day, give or take.
The average price in the month after it was disclosed was 33% higher than the average price in the prior month while the broad market was down -0.2%.
Is the price he paid for the shares he acquired during the violation lower than it would have been had he disclosed as required by the law?
Counterfactuals are tough, but it seems pretty clear.
Did he therefore benefit financially, personally, by breaking the law? By many millions of dollars?
I can’t see how you can conclude “no”, but give it a try.

Your reasoning is what…that nothing happened because, well, he’s not in jail yet and besides, he’s a Great Man?

I’m guessing that since you have no interest in investing in any of Musk’s companies that you
don’t spend any time doing research. So you just pick up your impressions from the popular press and similar.
So why pretend to actually know anything about this? You’re listening to the hyenas and
imagining that gives you some knowledge of what the lions are doing. Just don’t.

I remember when I was about to get married, and I and/or my wife occasionally mentioned that we weren’t going to have kids.
Sometimes this was mentioned in the presence of those with children.
You might expect them to agree with the notion, or disagree, or ask about our views on the matter, or speak of the joys of child rearing, perhaps try to change our minds.
But no: almost without exception, they took it as a visceral personal attack. (though there wasn’t usually mention of hyenas, IIRC)
The reaction was a corresponding, and generally bizarrely extreme, attack on us.
Why was this?
The mere idea called into question an axiom around which they had built their lives.
They had invested so much of themselves in an belief system that no mention of an alternative could be seen as anything but a vile personal attack. They lashed out.
The facts which were nominally the subject of the discussion were not relevant to the reaction.
They could not be seen, let alone discussed rationally.

Get the analogy?

I think a lot of fans of Mr Musk have heard the notion that their fandom is like a cult. Some think it cute.
But they haven’t quite got the message: It’s not an analogy, folks.
You question another person’s religion at your peril; objective reality has no applicability.

Mr Musk breaks the law again.
Somebody points it out.
That person gets an attack, ranging from “you have no expertise in the field” to “he gives great lectures so it’s irrelevant” to “you’re just listening to the hyenas”.
Repeat.

You’d think that the fifth or tenth loop would cause a light bulb to go on, but nope.
Objective reality has no applicability–the adherent can not see it.
One man’s religion is another man’s belly laugh.

Jim

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I related my 2021 NetJets card purchase here: https://discussion.fool.com/i-bought-a-harpsichord-34895630.aspx… and here: https://discussion.fool.com/i-don39t-have-much-to-add-to-this-34…

Not much to add (except he married the girl).

HTH

–sutton

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Sorry, no. That’s what Engadget and CNBC reported Musk said. Often completely false. Point to the actual source.

Those ARE sources. They are articles written by journalists who were at the event, transcribed what Elon Musk said, and then reported it to the public. That’s the way journalism works.

If you have information that shows those journalists made an error in their reporting, feel free to cite away. That would be quite newsworthy, and bear in mind these weren’t the only reports I found which all said essentially the same thing. These articles have been up for three years without correction or retraction, and of course those news organizations would have legal and monetary exposure if they were to let false information stand uncorrected, so the reasonable conclusion must be that they are accurate.

It would take a very naive, gullible and biased person to draw the opposite conclusion, and it would take a very presumptuous person to insist that anyone referring to those articles should be required to do more homework on the topic.

Rob

50 Likes

Sorry Jim… on this we disagree.

I wish you had looked at the business more closely instead of trading options.

Options trading is gambling.

jan

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James work is very detailed indeed.

I like Gene Munster too.

But the key to profit per vehicle is with Sandy Munroe Live.

:grin:

IMHO: IGU and Kingran are correct about Tesla.

Options are a form of gambling. If you risk money on options and loose, oh well.

Charlie (jesus disciple) said something like (paraphrase here) if the options and futures markets were eliminated that would be a good thing.

Maybe someone else can recall Charlie’s quote.

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I am more happy with Elon and Tesla than with Buffett and BRK.

One can argue that the likes of Buffet are harming the earth with Oxy, selling sugar to kids and Elon is helping humanity.

In my opinion Buffett is a bigger criminal (if you want to play in the gutter).

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In my opinion Buffett is a bigger criminal (if you want to play in the gutter)

Dang. Board, you guys have to rethink your hatred for me. I praised Buffett Apple investment, his $100 B gains, even when I was critical of his support to WFC management, I didn’t go where Divi went. But I understand his stand. If you are introducing “criminal” into the conversation…

IN any case, you can all show some love to me now, I present your new villain Divi!!!

LOL

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Ah, there is none so blind as he who will not see.

And yet you continue to post accusations without evidence – just a bland assertion that the records are public. Nor did you answer most of the questions I asked.

I’ll grant that it seems likely that Musk was speeding. And he got to his destination sooner because of it. But we have no idea who was driving the car. Nor if it would be an infraction or a misdemeanor if he were cited. Nor what the typical fine is, or whether people on that stretch of road speed all the time and nobody cares.

You keep doing the same thing.

  1. Claim Musk is doing some bad thing.
  2. Claim you know his motivation.
  3. Cite no evidence but claim it’s obvious or public knowledge or something like that.
  4. Condemn him for the above.
  5. Claim I’m a cult member for refusing to see the obvious.

I keep saying the same thing: provide some evidence. You never do that. “Everybody’s saying so” means very little.

My position remains the same: I’ve seen no evidence of wrongdoing by Musk to support your calumnies. For many of the things you have mentioned, I’ve seen lots of evidence indicating otherwise, and some of that I’ve described in earlier posts. I have no position on the subject of Twitter beyond that I don’t know much, and some things are more likely than others. All we have are a few documents and lots of speculation about why they say what the say.

Why are you devoting all this time to making up stuff about somebody who is doing more than anybody (certainly way more than you or WEB) to make the world a better place? Seriously, do you actually believe this nonsense? You truly ought to stick to talking about the stuff you know something about.

-IGU-

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keep saying the same thing: provide some evidence. You never do that. …

Why are you devoting all this time to making up stuff …? Seriously, do you actually believe this nonsense? You truly ought to stick to talking about the stuff you know something about

Amen.

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Those ARE sources.

Quite true. But they are not primary sources. When looking for accurate information about Elon Musk or Tesla, primary sources are the only thing you can believe. And secondary sources are not evidence of any kind. And the notion that if they were wrong they would have been corrected is laughable.

If you want to rely on secondary sources, that’s fine for you. But I learned long ago that for controversial subjects, and Musk and Tesla are always controversial, that they don’t work.

So, if you want to know what Musk said, find the original video or transcript. Look at Musk’s tweets, not reports about them. Look at SEC filings, not what journalists write about the filings.

There are no end of reports that have headlines like “Tesla catches fire!!” and report on what might be a Tesla fire, and helpfully mention that Teslas were previously reported on fire on a variety of dates. Nowhere will be mentioned that the Tesla was on fire because it was parked in a garage that burned up for other reasons, nor that Teslas actually catch fire at about 1/10 the rate of ICE vehicles. So yeah, lots of reporting but not much in the way of useful information. It leaves you more ignorant after you’ve read it than when you started.

And then soon mungofitch is saying that Musk is evil because he doesn’t care that his cars explode all the time. Well, maybe he hasn’t said that yet, but possibly soon.

So, yeah, I try to stick to primary sources for determining what’s factual and what’s not.

-IGU-