Should the FED Return to Political Control?

there’s a widespread belief these days that the “independence of the Federal Reserve” is some sort of economic virtue. I do not subscribe to this view; such a powerful government agency should be under the direct control of elected leaders.

Since the Federal Reserve became “independent” of political control in the late 1970s, America has not coincidentally undergone a period of dramatic financialization. And that was intentional. Remember, Fed Chair Paul Volcker used to carry around a card of union wage rates, as a reminder that his goal in achieving low inflation was to break union power. The Federal Reserve is responsible in part or fully for the legalization of derivatives, the explosion of subprime lending during the 2000s, the great financial crisis, a trillion dollar transfer of wealth to big banks as interest rates increased, the institutionalization of crypto-currencies, the merger explosion of the early 2020s, and the failed regulation of Silicon Valley Bank, among other problems. It’s also a highly political institution, pushing free trade and defending large banks; in the 1990s, Fed officials secretly bailed out Mexico so as to protect Citibank and pass NAFTA.

At its heart, the Federal Reserve is a price-setting agency that chooses the interest rate for every bond and loan in America. It does it through regulatory choices, bank regulation, and the purchases of securities and credit instruments through a multi-trillion dollar portfolio. 'Today, the Fed is the seat of power for bank regulators, shrouded by a mystique that it is run by apolitical civil servants.

And yet, Fed independence, from from some immutable old rule of politics, is relatively new.

During the New Deal, from 1933-1951, the Fed was under the direct political control of the President. FDR picked the interest rate in the 1930s

It was only a weird deal in 1951, called the Fed-Treasury Accord, that allowed the Federal Reserve to begin exercising some independent judgment on monetary matters. But even the Fed-Treasury Accord didn’t create what we know of today as the “independence” of the Fed. From the 1950s until the late 1970s, the Fed was sort of in a mixed position, subject to political influence, but also with some discretion. Democrats of the long New Deal era from the 1930s to the 1970s scoffed at the very notion that the rate of lending was a technical subject beyond the reach of politics.

Over the years, I’ve written a number of articles on why the Fed needs to be restructured. Here are a few of them. We’ll start with who makes decisions. In 2020, I noted that every single board member of the central bank is a multi-millionaire.

Basically, the Federal Reserve promotes large banks who hoard lending capacity and don’t use it - and harms small ones and actual business
Here’s that piece: The Fed Took $3k From You and Gave it to Jamie Dimon

If elections are to matter, then the people we elect should get to make policy on these institutions, aka how we use money.

Do I think Trump would do a good job with this power? No, but that’s the wrong question. Do I think Fed leaders subjected to political control would do a better job than those insulated from it? Yes.

Elected leaders, at the end of the day, are more likely to listen to the public. That’s just not the case for ‘independent’ Federal Reserve officials, whose clients really are Wall Street banks.

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The Federal Reserve was created on December 23, 1913, with the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act, after a series of financial panics (particularly the panic of 1907) led to the desire for central control of the monetary system in order to alleviate financial crises.

The role of the Federal Reserve as lender of last resort in a liquidity crisis (not a solvency crisis) is one that prevents a financial panic without a long-term commitment of funds. I think most people will agree with that.

Congress established three key objectives for monetary policy in the Federal Reserve Act: maximizing employment, stabilizing prices, and moderating long-term interest rates.[13] The first two objectives are sometimes referred to as the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate.

I read “21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19,” by Fed Chair Ben Bernanke. He describes in detail all the tweaks the Fed made to steer the economy. He wrote a separate book, “The Courage to Act: A Memoir of a Crisis and Its Aftermath,” about the unprecedented actions taken during 2008-2010.

Over time, the Fed’s mandate and actions have grown far beyond the original purpose.

It’s one thing for the Fed to control the overnight fed funds rate. It’s quite another for them to keep the real (inflation-adjusted) fed funds rate at a negative yield for extended periods when the economy was not in recession.

It’s also harmful for the Fed to maintain a gigantic book of long-term Treasury and mortgage bonds. The market, not the Fed, should control long-term interest rates.

But whatever we think about the Fed, it’s like the weather. We talk about it but there’s nothing we can do about it.

Wendy

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Nonsense.

It appears we are in an era of anti-expertise. We don’t need an expert in healthcare to run our healthcare. We don’t need an expert in the military to run the military. We don’t need trained air traffic controllers to coordinate airplanes. We don’t need trained weather forecasters to tell us what will happen, just a map and a Sharpie. We don’t need an expert in viruses to run our response to a pandemic. We don’t need trained auditors to audit our books. Ask your doctor about investment strategy and ask your gardener about your healthcare. It’s silly season!!

Experts are not 100%.guaranteed to get the correct response, but the odds of a correct response are greatly improved relying on experts. Same with science.

I get it. Humans are imperfect and we make mistakes. But damn, let’s at least stack the deck in our favor.

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Why does the article pretend the choice were binary?

Then again, Erdogan also is convinced his beliefs are superior to the expertise of an experienced central banker. Such as, high interest rates would drive inflation.

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Which has continued to this day and is one of the reasons the middle class has been shrinking. Thank you Volcker and Reagan for making America poorer again.

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The Fed should properly be known as “The Jekyll Island’s Banker’s Coup.”

Birth of the Fed • Jekyll Island, Georgia • Vacation, Conservation, and Education Destination.

I wonder which was worse, the 2008 financial crash or Covid-19, two versions of Big Brother taking control.

The Captain

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I wonder what was worse in the 1800s or the 1900s in respect to depressions?

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Some people have been saying the same thing about courts “unelected judges, legislating from the bench”. So, the Constitution says whatever the POTUS finds expedient at the moment?

Steve

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You might want to explore Jimmy Carter’s role in the decline of union membership & deregulation. Also see Alfred Kahn’s role.

Historian Jefferson Cowie tells the following story in his outstanding book on the decline of labor and the transformation of the white working class, Stayin’ Alive: The 1970s and the Last Days of the Working Class. In 1979, a reporter asked International Association of Machinists president Wimpy Winpisinger a question about Jimmy Carter. Winpisinger was among the most progressive labor leaders of the decade, trying to shake organized labor out of its bureaucratic complacent doldrums.

> Q: Is there any way the President can redeem himself in your eyes?
> WW: Yes, there one way he can do it.
> Q: What’s that?
> WW: Die.

Winpisinger went on:

> I don’t wish that upon him, but that’s the only goddamn way I know he can.

In another interview, Winpisinger called Carter, “The best Republican president since Herbert Hoover.”

Also the Jimmy Carter’s administration started the beginning of the deindustrialization of the US financialization of the US economy which did not benefit the working class.

Supreme court justices are picked by the president and confirmed by Congress.

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Bingo! We’ve got people on this very board who are openly hostile to experts. I don’t understand it either.

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I see no reason why the author thinks John Q Public would do a better job at setting rates than the professionals.

The author seems to think that the lowest common dominator is more equipped to set rates than the “millionaires” on the board.

Exactly.

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Elected leaders, at the end of the day, are more likely to listen to the public. That’s just not the case for ‘independent’ Federal Reserve officials, whose clients really are Wall Street banks.

Maybe this is a mute point. Wall Street already pretty much controls congress along with the Fed. And whose interests are they looking after?

“Experts” have data, and facts. They are not so easily swayed by what is politically expedient at the moment. That makes them a problem.

Steve

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I did and found that none of what he did hurt as much as what Reagan and Volcker did. You could say Carter helped strengthen unions with his whistle blower federal law.

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Again, the author seems to think that the public would be a better entity for determining rates than the banks. I don’t agree. You trade one potential bias for another - and you empower a much less wise and intelligent entity in the process.

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Not always a good thing.

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What’s your opinion about expert thieves?

Jack Welch was expert at squeezing out corporate profits.

There is more than expertise to experts.

There is a very good reason behind the lack of efficiency of checks and balances. Dictators are more efficient than democrats.

The Captain

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Forty-five years later, the Carter years look like a turning point. Deregulation and unrestricted trade were about to destroy millions of stable high-paying union jobs in manufacturing, trucking, and airlines. Whatever nostalgia working people may have for the former peanut farmer who was still teaching Sunday school into his 90s, when it mattered and Carter was behind the wheel, America made a wrong turn for workers.

During his four years as president, Carter signed into law bills deregulating airlines, trucking, railroads, telecommunications, and natural gas. The laws were passed with the help of a new breed of business-friendly post-Watergate Congressional Democrats. The old New Deal regulatory order had valued stability, and its guard rails had enabled high-wage union jobs and lifelong careers. It didn’t take long for deregulation to lead to catastrophic disruption — a wave of bankruptcies in trucking, the collapse of PanAmerican and Eastern Airlines, and the loss of hundreds of thousands of union jobs. Deregulation of airlines and railroads also ended their obligation to serve unprofitable destinations, sapping the vitality of smaller cities and towns.

The Carter administration is when his party turned its back on labor and began appealing to the professional class.

And elected leaders do not listen to the working which made it possible for a bipartisan foreign adventure interventionist foreign policy.