Tariff impact isn't uniform

Prices are affected by many factors. Supply, demand, competition and marketers who raise prices on domestic goods to match higher prices on foreign-made goods that are increased by tariffs.

The question is how high the price increases will be. Nobody thinks that tariffs will result in lower prices.

Tariffs are inherently inflationary since much if not all of the additional costs are passed on to consumers.

Wendy

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IIRC, Leap does (part of deflation).

DB2

Seems the tariffs on our allies and trading partners will go into effect, as scheduled, tonight.

There is “no room left for Canada or for Mexico,” Trump reiterated Monday afternoon at the White House, saying he wouldn’t pare back his tariffs levels on those two countries.

"The economy appears to be gagging on the uncertainty created by the haphazard economic policymaking happening in DC," Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi said in a recent post. He listed a range of factors, including “tariff wars, DOGE cuts to jobs and government programs and agencies, and deportations [that] are sowing confusion, which puts a pall on investment, hiring and spending.”

Steve

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I am thinking the Tariffs against Canada and Mexico is a sick joke and will not be implemented. After seeing the treasury secretary this weekend I think Trump won’t do it. We will see tomorrow if I am right.

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Gasoline has fallen a bit

Kirkland Italian imported sparkling water down 20 cents per case

Andy yea of little faith

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Sorry man, you’re trying to apply logic and reason. That’s a non-starter.

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Tariffs will go into effect. However, when the economy quickly takes a swan dive into the shallow end of the pool, he will fairly quickly undo them–but not all at once. Which ones get a quick reprieve? No idea because it is all based on IMAGE, not facts. That is a point little understood. If it LOOKS GOOD/SOUNDS GOOD–it gets done. It may be the worst possible decision, but it will LOOK GOOD–and that is all he cares. His supporters are, of course, totally clueless.

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Stay long and stay strong…hold until relieved.

The video shows someone you should never ever never ever listen to.

China and Canada announced retaliatory measures on Tuesday after U.S. tariffs took effect overnight, escalating trade tensions and rattling global markets. President Trump’s new tariffs include a 25% levy on most imports from Canada and Mexico, with an additional 10% tariff on Canadian energy exports. Tariffs on Chinese goods were increased from 10% to 20%. Beijing responded by slapping additional tariffs of 10-15% on a variety of U.S. agricultural imports, including chicken, pork, soy and beef, starting next week, China’s finance ministry announced. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, meanwhile, said Ottawa would impose immediate 25% tariffs on more than $20 billion worth of U.S. imports. Tariffs on an additional $86 billion worth of products will take effect in 21 days.

https://www.npr.org/2025/03/03/nx-s1-5316553/trump-tariffs-canada-mexico-china

Problem is that their largest electricity exports are to Wisconsin, Michigan, and New York, all blue states, so Trump won’t care.

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Yes, but Wisconsin and Michigan do swing both ways.

Pete

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I would not count on that. He won’t care but he will be shown up. There is no other way to reach him. He sees this as a negotiation. He does not notice embarrassing losses.

Meanwhile the independents are split 66 to 34. NPR report. The percentage was explained as 2/3.

@DrBob2 the dates that @Leap1 listed as being deflationary were all years of serious recession – brought about by the tariffs.

Perhaps I should have said, “Nobody thinks that tariffs will result in lower prices… unless they provoke a recession so severe that deflation will result as it did after the Smoot-Hawley Act in the Great Depression.” In which case, deflation will be the least of the economy’s problems (not to mention investors’).

Wendy

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I have been saying all along mass layoffs.

Less business.

Less business with the world layoff those who are not working as much or at all.

It is not just that. We are no longer the financial capital. Central Europe is. Frankfurt.

The public will enjoy lower prices. But then wonder if they have a job.

Might as well place this here.

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Won’t care initially, but will turn all kinds of colors once the power cuts hit home. Jobs lost, companies closed, and so on. Particularly if some of those jobs are producing needed military goods. He cut his own throat when that happens.

Yes, but (referencing membership of an infamous historic wallet, the Business Roundtable) the corporations located in those Blue states are bright red in their use of “constitutionally protected free speech money”.

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Trump won Wisconsin and Michigan.

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I don’t remember his other dates, but at least with Smoot-Hawley, the economic contraction came first (1929) then the tariffs (1930).

The 25% increase in electricity tariffs announced today are for Minnesota, New York and Michigan (transmission points near Niagara, Detroit and somewhere in northwestern Minnesota).

DB2

Niagara county voted for Trump. That is also NY-24 - which voted for Tenney (R). It will be interesting to see what she says about it.

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