The 2025 Weekly Dividend experiment

As mentioned in at least one 2024 thread on this board, the entity that created the YieldMax ETFs has a couple of ETFs that changed their payout frequency. Instead of the ETF paying out on a monthly basis, the company switched to paying on a weekly basis. One of the ETFs is YieldMax Magnificent 7 Fund of Option Income ETFs (Ticker: YMAG)

I started a YMAG position in May 2024, and added to the position at various times during the remainder of 2024. So far, what I have observed is one lower weekly payout and three relatively stronger payouts. Will that continue as a trend in 2025? Not sure. YMAG paid its first 2025 dividend today (01/06/25). That means 47 - 51 more payouts to follow.

Sometime in the next 2 - 3 months, I will also learn how my brokerage classifies the dividend.

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I missed the initial discussions on these YieldMax ETF’s so I went back and read them now. At first blush, they seem to be a good alternative to cash accounts in a retirement portfolio, that is, the portfolio of a retiree like me.

However, I did find this thread that explains how they are subject to a declining share price (NAV erosion) due to the nature of the strategy. This may be ok for a retiree who is interested only in the income and can hold “forever” to avoid selling at a loss. It also seems to me it’s dependent upon the continued strength of the underlying business, which is never guaranteed.

Intriguing, for sure, will do a little more studying before I pull the trigger though.

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@LakeEffect - Yes, this particular ETF (YMAG) is based on the “Magnificent 7” tech names - Options of Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, Nvidia. So, it has a concentrated risk in Megacap Tech. But, some of those names will not always move in sync i.e. Tesla is technology while the others are more IT focused.

As far as NAV erosion, that risk was understood and accepted going in. It is part of the trade-off for the high payout. I choose “experiment” in the title purposefully - I don’t know the outcome going in.

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Good point about the “Magnificent 7”, my brain apparently glossed over that one while perusing the list of ETF’s. Contemplating a similar “experiment” of my own and just thinking out loud (typing out loud?) here.

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BTW, the other YieldMax ETF that shifted to a weekly payout is YieldMax Universe Fund of Option Income ETFs (YMAX). The holdings are more diverse. But, their page specifically says this fund is a risky investment

https://www.yieldmaxetfs.com/our-etfs/ymax/

Cannot really say one way or another whether YMAX would be choppier in behavior than YMAG. Does having more “components” increase or decrease the price behavior of the ETF?

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Hi @HohumYNWA,

This is why we hold YMAX vs YMAG. It is still high risk but is not entirely dependent on the Mag 7.

We also have small positions in CONY, ULTY, YBIT and MSTY.

They provide a lot of cash flow with a much smaller capital position.

I expect this will all be short-term, no qualified dividends. Not sure if any might be considered as capital.

There are 52 scheduled weekly payments for 2025 with 51 left.

Does that help you?

Gene
All holdings and some statistics on my Fool profile page
Profile - gdett2 - Motley Fool Community (Click Expand)

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@gdett2 - YieldMax is a newish entity for financial products. The weekly dividend has only been implemented for a quarter (or since Oct 2024). Yes, there was a YMAG weekly payment for each of the 13 weeks in the quarter. Is that guaranteed? I don’t know. What I do know is that each month has at least 4 weeks and YieldMax has groups A, B, C, & D. That’s how I get 48. Since the first YMAG div has been paid, that leaves 47 more (at least). If indeed there is a 13th weekly payment during a calendar quarter in 2025, there will then be 52 payouts. Given that “investing involves risk”, I just opted for 48 - 52 payouts, rather than a firm 52.

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Hi @HohumYNWA,

I understand completely about the funds, new, etc.

Here is a link to their schedule:

https://www.yieldmaxetfs.com/distribution-schedule/

The weekly payers are listed to have 52 declaration meetings with planned payments in 2025.

Is there a possibility that they may have a meeting and decide there will not be a payment for a particular period? Yes.

While they may make a very low payment, I doubt they would declare a zero payment.

I only stated what their schedule has.

Does that help you?

Gene
All holdings and some statistics on my Fool profile page
Profile - gdett2 - Motley Fool Community (Click Expand)

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Hi @HohumYNWA,

I finally figured-out the Monthly vs Weekly vs 48 vs 52 conundrum!

With YMAX making 52 payments vs 12 each for the 4 component “week” payments per “month.”

The A, B, C & D funds pay every 4 Weeks, not once per Month!

I noticed the “B” funds pay twice this month, on Jan 6 and Jan 31.

Looking further “C” funds pay twice in May, 5/2 and 5/30. The “D” funds do it Aug 1 and Aug 29. The “A” funds Oct 3 and Oct 31 plus Dec 1 and Dec 29. (The "A’s"were the last to start paying this year which probably accounts for this.)

I have the straight monthly/quarterly oriented dividends so ingrained on my brain that a pure week-oriented scheme went right over my head.

Gene
All holdings and some statistics on my Fool profile page
Profile - gdett2 - Motley Fool Community (Click Expand)

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Jan 2025 wrapped up for YMAG. This was a 5-payout month.
The payouts looked something like 2X, X, 0.3X, 0.6X, 1.2X

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Feb 2025 wrapped up for YMAG. This shortest month has four weeks
The payouts looked something like 1.2X, 0.3X, 0.95X, 1.1X
There is definitely a weak payout in the sequence.

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So we are currently in a down trend and these ETF’s have tanked. How does everyone feel about holding them now?

The same way I did last week.

If I had decided to sell when prices dropped, I would be setting myself up to Buy High and Sell Lower which I believe is a self distributive investment plan.

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Hi @buynholdisdead,

This is one of my concerns about holding these.

I do expect the cash flow to change as the target trajectories change, so share price would follow. While I don’t follow YMAG, it seems to behave as I expect.

What I want to see is how they recover when the targets increase in value again.

The various pages all state there may be periods when their payments may be zero.

The ‘D’ group is declared tomorrow which has MSTY (MSTR which has been hammered).

In looking at the site to verify the above, I noticed that ULTY has moved from group ‘C’ to Weekly in the list. That would put our portfolio dividend payments over 800 this year.

Does that help you?

Gene
All holdings and some statistics on my Fool profile page
Profile - gdett2 - Motley Fool Community (Click Expand)

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Yes it does. So you are not worried about them going bankrupt but you do think that a payout of 0 could happen. Then when the market starts coming back their payout would come back. Is that correct Gene?

Hi @buynholdisdead,

I see bankruptcy as a possibility, more-so than I see it for Kimberly Clark (KMB) but not at a terribly likely happening.

Yes, I fully expect to see payouts increase as the market starts growing again and along with that, share price.

Hopefully, we will have an answer to that in the next few months.

Does that help you?

Gene
All holdings and some statistics on my Fool profile page
Profile - gdett2 - Motley Fool Community (Click Expand)

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Thank you. Yes it does.

I’m more concerned about a reverse split.

Any idea what might be the threshold that triggers a reverse split?

:thinking:
ralph

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No change on my end. Lower price of ETF was expected for some portion of the investment cycle. I probably do need to set a level of “redness” that is acceptable.

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For NYSE traded individual companies, the exchange only allows a company’s shares to trade below $1/sh for a certain number of consecutive days. After that, the exchange sends the company a warning letter “remedy the situation or delist”. I would think YieldMax would receive a similar letter

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