The Two Ways Demand Side Econ Can Affect Equity Prices

So you are saying he is as intellectually challenged as you. You are a meanie.

Meanwhile you were entirely wrong.

I’m just going by the factual record. Perhaps you should try that.

No you are just using weasly words. Let’s look at the factual record. This is what you said back in November of 2022.

"Yes we will have a recession, could have declared one this year almost, but a shallow recession. The current lay off headlines are in tech. The workforces are massive and these layoffs are good sized but not the soup of bankrupt companies. "

I told you to go back and look at what you wrote but instead you decided to open mouth, insert foot. Over and over again. This is to easy, if you are going to weasel out of things you might want to delete all your past posts.

Oh by the way we still have not had a recession. :laughing:

You have no clue what is going on. Sad really.

LOL I think I have made my point.

Is there going to be a Recession?
Yes ------------------------ No
Leap ---------------------- Everyone else
0 --------------------------- 3

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We all do better with data, well done.

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Not if we make up the data and ignore the facts.

Don’t parrot andy. He gets a lot wrong.

Go back and do a search on my recession comments. Andy has just pulled the wool over your eyes.

Remember that I took this all as mild stuff at the time.

Seems a shame that a couple of people misstate my words.

We have something between a recession and a great depression coming up over the next few years. Few being 3.

If you are still around then quote me on something more firmly said. Remember to thank me as well. LOL

I never in 2022 gave any investment advice based on the idea of a shallow recession that was close to being called by the NBER.

Andy? That you? You are all over the road here.
So this last week you do not see a recession. Got you.

buynholdisdead

Jan 2023

Good point Arindam, very good point. Your right if we do go into a recession this company could go much lower, but I thought the reason for doing chart reading was to tell you when to get into and out of a stock? So if it is correct wouldn’t the chart also tell me when to sell so I do not get the big drop?

Andy

@mostlylong

Interesting…

mostlylong

38Packard

Jan 2023

hi @38Packard

(by the way, thank you for all of your helpful posts, especially on navigating the boards)

just taking a basic look, it appears the data @Leap1 posted (https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2023/01/09/full-time-and-part-time-employment-a-deeper-look) is similar to what I posted from the Bureau of Labor Statistics except I show the last 2 years and leap’s link shows the last 22 years (the link references the BLS as well).

Perhaps the uptick in part time jobs I show corresponds to the little uptick at the end of the longer series (circled below)? Kind of looks that way, so the two charts seem consistent with each other.

It’s interesting to note the uptick/downtick in PT/FT during recessions. Really strong in the financial crisis. (hopefully not too strong this time!)

@GDavenport Sheesh!

Leap
.5
Andy
2
Mostly
2
GDaven
1

You guys are worrying far too much. Stop pointing fingers at me. It was 2022, 2023…I give you absolution.

The difference is I tell people I do not have a clue when we will have a recession, you have been trying to tell people each year we will have a recession. I have no problem being wrong, you think if you are wrong it is a disaster. :laughing:

That is not what the record says about you. That is not inline with your BTC stuff.

That is not inline with what I said either.

Stop trying to point the finger when this is your problem.

I have a problem when you put words in my mouth.

Andy

Go outside and play. Get some air. Don’t live on your computer.

You stayed up all last night stewing didn’t you? LOL

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The monkey is on my back.

Hair beasty.

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