It is winter time in Siberia already. The Russians and Ukrainians are going nowhere in the trench warfare for the next six months.
The US has already won in Russia.
Winning in Ukraine happens later.
We do not have good figures for Russian inflation but it decapitate Putin next year. He is in big trouble.
If you study the war map for where the trenchlines stand in Ukraine nothing is really moving but the energy of the stalemate is deadly for the Russians. The army really is getting paid less and less in terms of inflation back in Russia. In the next revolt, Putin will be too weak to survive.
The US supply of munitions to Ukraine is close to catching up with the summer demand for offensives.