Canada is in the dog house for terrible progress on reducing CO2 emissions

The federal government is not on track to meet the 2030 target to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by at least 40% below the 2005 level by 2030. While the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan included important mitigation measures to reduce emissions, some of these measures, such as the Oil and Gas Emissions Cap and the Clean Fuel Regulations, have been delayed. We found that the measures most critical for reducing emissions had not been identified or prioritized.

These are not new findings. The federal government has failed to meet previous emission reduction targets despite the development and implementation of more than 10 climate change mitigation plans since 1990. Canada’s current emissions are significantly higher than they were in 1990.

https://www.oag-bvg.gc.ca/internet/English/parl_cesd_202311_06_e_44369.html#IG

Roughly speaking, over the last 20-25 years it appears that nat gas has replaced coal and oil has remained more or less steady.

DB2

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I wonder how the wars in Ukraine and Gaza are affecting CO2 emissions?

Sometimes it feels like individual efforts for a sustainable environment are unlikely to be impactful.

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According to the Global Carbon Budget people, 2023 will see an all-time record in fossil fuel CO2 emissions.
https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/global-co2-emissions-fossil-fuels-hit-record-high-2023-report-2023-12-05/

From the link:
DUBAI, Dec 5 (Reuters) - Global carbon dioxide emissions from burning fossil fuels are set to hit a record high this year, exacerbating climate change and fuelling more destructive extreme weather, scientists said.

The Global Carbon Budget report, published on Tuesday during the COP28 climate summit, said that overall CO2 emissions, which reached a record high last year, have plateaued in 2023 due to a slight drop from uses of land like deforestation.

Countries are expected to emit a total 36.8 billion metric tons of CO2 from fossil fuels in 2023, a 1.1% increase from last year, the report by scientists from more than 90 institutions including the University of Exeter concluded.

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The COVID crisis in 2020 caused a temporary world-wide drop in fossil fuel use. But in the last few years, economies and fossil fuel use have recovered. I don’t see the Ukraine situation affecting much on a big scale. Europe isn’t getting as much natural gas from Russia as it was. That may apply to petroleum products as well. The real drivers in the growth are China, and India to a lesser extent. The Gaza situation isn’t affecting the flow of oil from the Middle East, as far as I can see.

  • Pete

Correct - Canada has made no progress in reducing CO2 emissions. And the kicker is that Canada does not get tagged with CO2 emissions from all the oil & nat gas they ship to other counties.

Clarifications:

  1. Ukraine has many nuclear reactors (15) that are currently not operating because of the war with Russia. Thus they are burning fossil fuels for electricity.

  2. The Middle East countries are also increasing production of gas and oil.

Are you sure about that? CBS News seems to disagree with you.

From the link:
Ukraine remains heavily dependent on nuclear energy. It has three other plants still under its direct control which, combined, power more than half the country. That makes them too important to shut down, despite the risks of Russian attacks.

  • Pete

This is hard to believe. Canada has so much hydro power they are able to export much power. You expect them to be among the most green having invested heavily in construction of all that capacity.

Oil and gas are more recent developments.

On a per capita basis how do they compare with the rest of the world?

Canada is about the same as the US, and is generally higher than Europe and Japan.
Canada: 14.2 tonnes per person
USA: 14.9 tonnes per person

See map here:

  • Pete
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FWIW, Canada is a petro-state.

As of 2019, energy exports were worth $124.5 billion.

DB2

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