Market Trend Indicators

MapG · April 15, 2022, 10:54am

As of                                              **Thursday, April 14, 2022**
 
Including the three(x5) used for Allocation:  **60%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
 Count of new signals in the last 30 days =    **7    (Four new "BEARish" signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                          1**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is possible next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                      2**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is possible next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                   3**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New "BEAR" signals are possible in           **36**  market days.
 
Other_MAC: (FYI only)                         **53%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".

 
**Modern Family:  Symbol:  Status:  Roles - leading indicators for how much follow through the major indices might experience**
S&P 500 Index     .SPx   **Warning** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW    EQAL   **Bullish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000      IWM    **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
Transportation    IYT    **BEARish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail            XRT    **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Bank     KRE    **Warning** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech           IBB    **Warning** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor     SMH    **BEARish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
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 **14-Apr-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC   Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====       =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |   Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-23  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-23  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** Bullish    2022-03-23  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**   BEARish   2022-03-25  **|**    2020-10-06
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-24  **|**    2020-05-22
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   Bullish   2022-03-21  **|** Bullish    2022-03-28  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-28  **|**    2020-05-22
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     4        **80%     |**     3      **60%      |**      2        **40%       |**     8        **53.3%     |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |    Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -1.0%       -1.0%  **|**    -4.4%       110.55  **|**       -9.9%           108  **|**   (TP,50d)       -1.0%  **|**        105.15
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -0.1%       -0.9%  **|**    -2.7%       494.60  **|**       -7.9%           108  **|**   (TP,50d)       -0.3%  **|**        479.01
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -0.7%       -0.8%  **|**     0.5%       155.41  **|**       -4.3%            68  **|** (50d,200d)       -0.4%  **|**        155.53
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -3.4%       -3.4%  **|**    -3.1%       101.49  **|**       -7.2%            69  **|**   (TP,50d)       -0.3%  **|**         97.83
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**       1.0%        1.1%  **|**    -1.5%      4482.66  **|**       -6.2%            69  **|**  (TP,210d)       -1.5%  **|**       4392.59
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GD_

MapG · April 15, 2022, 10:55am

**14-Apr-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    Warning     |    Bullish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         Warning        Warning        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-14   |   2022-03-30   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-03-09      2022-03-30     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |        0       |       15       |        2             7              91             36              15             3
Signals(3)/Yr        |        7       |       10       |        8             8               8             9               6              9
%Bullish/Yr          |      76%       |      63%       |      46%             44%           44%             59%            34%            70%
Status MAC(50)       |    Support     |    Support     |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |    Support     |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |       2%       |       4%       |       1%             -3%           -4%            -13%             3%            -8%
Slope(200)           |       1%       |       0%       |      -13%            3%            -28%            13%           -35%             4%
Last_Price           |    4392.59     |      46.05     |     198.96         247.28          76.48         64.69           130.86         238.22
50-DMA               |    4418.38     |      45.37     |     201.56         258.80          77.14         70.81           128.19         263.10
200-DMA              |    4495.27     |      45.86     |     216.53         260.41          89.01         69.35           150.39         274.30
DMAC(50,200)         |      -1.7%     |      -1.1%     |      -6.9%         -0.6%          -13.3%          2.1%           -14.8%         -4.1%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -8.4%     |      -4.2%     |     -18.0%         -11.7%         -26.6%         -17.9%          -25.7%         -24.7%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      101       |      150       |      157             100           149             90             248            108
New_52wH/Yr          |       49       |       22       |        4             9              12             15              2              26
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The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Intermedate-Term Trend indicators give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
4 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
3 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
1 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.

“Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
“Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_