Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1 
As of                                              **Thursday, April 14, 2022**
 
Including the three(x5) used for Allocation:  **60%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
 Count of new signals in the last 30 days =    **7    (Four new "BEARish" signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                          1**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is possible next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                      2**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is possible next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                   3**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New "BEAR" signals are possible in           **36**  market days.
 
Other_MAC: (FYI only)                         **53%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".

 
**Modern Family:  Symbol:  Status:  Roles - leading indicators for how much follow through the major indices might experience**
S&P 500 Index     .SPx   **Warning** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW    EQAL   **Bullish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000      IWM    **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
Transportation    IYT    **BEARish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail            XRT    **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Bank     KRE    **Warning** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech           IBB    **Warning** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor     SMH    **BEARish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
      ---         ---      ---                                               ---

 **14-Apr-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC   Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====       =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |   Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-23  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-23  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** Bullish    2022-03-23  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**   BEARish   2022-03-25  **|**    2020-10-06
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-24  **|**    2020-05-22
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   Bullish   2022-03-21  **|** Bullish    2022-03-28  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-28  **|**    2020-05-22
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     4        **80%     |**     3      **60%      |**      2        **40%       |**     8        **53.3%     |** 
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----
 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |    Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -1.0%       -1.0%  **|**    -4.4%       110.55  **|**       -9.9%           108  **|**   (TP,50d)       -1.0%  **|**        105.15
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -0.1%       -0.9%  **|**    -2.7%       494.60  **|**       -7.9%           108  **|**   (TP,50d)       -0.3%  **|**        479.01
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -0.7%       -0.8%  **|**     0.5%       155.41  **|**       -4.3%            68  **|** (50d,200d)       -0.4%  **|**        155.53
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -3.4%       -3.4%  **|**    -3.1%       101.49  **|**       -7.2%            69  **|**   (TP,50d)       -0.3%  **|**         97.83
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**       1.0%        1.1%  **|**    -1.5%      4482.66  **|**       -6.2%            69  **|**  (TP,210d)       -1.5%  **|**       4392.59
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----

More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

11 Likes
2 
**14-Apr-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    Warning     |    Bullish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         Warning        Warning        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-14   |   2022-03-30   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-03-09      2022-03-30     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |        0       |       15       |        2             7              91             36              15             3
Signals(3)/Yr        |        7       |       10       |        8             8               8             9               6              9
%Bullish/Yr          |      76%       |      63%       |      46%             44%           44%             59%            34%            70%
Status MAC(50)       |    Support     |    Support     |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |    Support     |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |       2%       |       4%       |       1%             -3%           -4%            -13%             3%            -8%
Slope(200)           |       1%       |       0%       |      -13%            3%            -28%            13%           -35%             4%
Last_Price           |    4392.59     |      46.05     |     198.96         247.28          76.48         64.69           130.86         238.22
50-DMA               |    4418.38     |      45.37     |     201.56         258.80          77.14         70.81           128.19         263.10
200-DMA              |    4495.27     |      45.86     |     216.53         260.41          89.01         69.35           150.39         274.30
DMAC(50,200)         |      -1.7%     |      -1.1%     |      -6.9%         -0.6%          -13.3%          2.1%           -14.8%         -4.1%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -8.4%     |      -4.2%     |     -18.0%         -11.7%         -26.6%         -17.9%          -25.7%         -24.7%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      101       |      150       |      157             100           149             90             248            108
New_52wH/Yr          |       49       |       22       |        4             9              12             15              2              26
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Intermedate-Term Trend indicators give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
4 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
3 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
1 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.

  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

7 Likes