Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1 
As of                                               **Friday, May 6, 2022**
 
Including the three(x5) used for Allocation:  **80%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
 Count of new signals in the last 30 days =    **7    (One new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                           0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is unlikely next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                       0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is unlikely next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                    3**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New "BEAR" signals are possible in            **21**  market days.
 
Other_MAC: (FYI only)                         **100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
---                                           ---                    ---

 **Modern Family:  Status   Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
 S&P 500 Index (.SPx)  **BEARish** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW (EQAL)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
   Russell 2000 (IWM)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
 Transportation (IYT)  **BEARish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
         Retail (XRT)  **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
  Regional Bank (KRE)  **BEARish** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
        BioTech (IBB)  **BEARish** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
  SemiConductor (SMH)  **BEARish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
                  ---    ---                                           ---

 **PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
  =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
  BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-04  **|**    2022-04-06
  BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-12
  BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2020-10-06
  BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-28
  BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2020-05-22
    5        **100%     |**     5      **100%     |**      2        **40%       |**     15      **100.0%    |** 
  -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----      -----          -----
**PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
     -4.4%       -3.0%  **|**    -9.8%       109.87  **|**      -11.3%           124  **|**  (TP,50d)       -6.2%  **|**         99.01
     -2.0%       -3.0%  **|**    -8.4%       493.21  **|**       -9.1%           124  **|**  (TP,50d)       -5.6%  **|**        452.34
     -1.8%       -1.2%  **|**    -5.6%       155.54  **|**       -6.9%            84  **|**  (TP,50d)       -4.7%  **|**        147.25
     -3.3%       -3.6%  **|**    -9.9%       101.24  **|**      -11.5%            84  **|**  (TP,50d)       -6.3%  **|**         91.34
     -1.1%       -0.5%  **|**    -8.2%      4481.81  **|**      -10.6%            84  **|**  (TP,50d)       -5.8%  **|**       4123.34
  -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----      -----          -----

More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

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**6-May-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    BEARish     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         BEARish        BEARish        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-27   |   2022-04-28   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-04-28      2022-04-27     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |        9       |        8       |       24             29            113             8               9              25
Signals(3)/Yr        |        8       |       11       |        8             8               8             10              6              9
%Bullish/Yr          |      70%       |      60%       |      40%             38%           38%             53%            32%            64%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -2%       |      -1%       |      -7%             -8%           -5%            -15%            -3%           -13%
Slope(200)           |      -2%       |      -2%       |      -17%            0%            -32%            6%            -40%            -6%
Last_Price           |    4123.34     |      43.18     |     182.58         238.99          69.45         62.63           113.17         232.67
50-DMA               |    4369.70     |      45.29     |     198.81         254.27          75.55         67.99           126.03         252.95
200-DMA              |    4489.10     |      45.81     |     214.25         259.57          87.36         69.43           147.32         272.97
DMAC(50,200)         |      -2.7%     |      -1.1%     |      -7.2%         -2.0%          -13.5%         -2.1%           -14.4%         -7.3%
 
%Off_52wH            |     -14.0%     |     -10.1%     |     -24.7%         -14.6%         -33.3%         -20.5%          -35.8%         -26.5%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      123       |      172       |      179             122           171             112            270            130
New_52wH/Yr          |       46       |       17       |        4             3              11             15              2              26
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The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
8 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
0 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.

  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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