Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1 
As of                                              **Friday, April 29, 2022**
 
Including the three(x5) used for Allocation:  **73%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
 Count of new signals in the last 30 days =    **6    (Two new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                          0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is unlikely next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                      1**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is possible next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                   3**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New "BEAR" signals are possible in           **26**  market days.
 
Other_MAC: (FYI only)                         **60%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".

 
**Modern Family:  Symbol:  Status:**
S&P 500 Index     .SPx   **BEARish**
Russell 1000EW    EQAL   **BEARish**
Russell 2000      IWM    **BEARish**
Transportation    IYT    **BEARish**
Retail            XRT    **BEARish**
Regional Bank     KRE    **BEARish**
BioTech           IBB    **BEARish**
SemiConductor     SMH    **BEARish**
      ---         ---      ---

 **29-Apr-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC   Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====       =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |   Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-23  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-23  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** Bullish    2022-03-23  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**   BEARish   2022-03-25  **|**    2020-10-06
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-24  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**   BEARish   2022-04-25  **|**    2020-05-22
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     5        **100%     |**     4      **80%      |**      2        **40%       |**     9        **60.0%     |** 
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----
 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |    Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -2.5%       -2.5%  **|**    -8.8%       110.13  **|**      -11.7%           119  **|**   (TP,50d)       -5.4%  **|**         99.42
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -1.5%       -2.3%  **|**    -6.7%       493.90  **|**       -9.6%           119  **|**   (TP,50d)       -4.1%  **|**        455.83
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -0.8%       -0.5%  **|**    -4.3%       155.59  **|**       -7.2%            79  **|** (50d,200d)       -0.9%  **|**        147.45
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -3.2%       -3.5%  **|**    -8.4%       101.40  **|**      -11.5%            79  **|**   (TP,50d)       -5.0%  **|**         91.83
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -0.2%        0.3%  **|**    -6.9%      4485.68  **|**      -10.6%            79  **|**  (TP,210d)       -6.9%  **|**       4131.93
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----

More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

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**29-Apr-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    BEARish     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         BEARish        BEARish        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-27   |   2022-04-28   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-04-28      2022-04-27     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |        2       |        1       |       17             22            106             1               2              18
Signals(3)/Yr        |        8       |       11       |        8             8               8             10              6              9
%Bullish/Yr          |      72%       |      62%       |      42%             40%           40%             55%            34%            66%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |       1%       |       3%       |      -3%             -5%           -3%            -14%             2%           -11%
Slope(200)           |      -1%       |      -1%       |      -15%            2%            -30%            9%            -38%            -2%
Last_Price           |    4131.93     |      43.16     |     184.95         242.83          70.27         61.84           116.65         229.85
50-DMA               |    4382.63     |      45.32     |     199.83         255.66          75.95         68.88           126.65         255.59
200-DMA              |    4492.77     |      45.83     |     214.99         259.85          87.91         69.38           148.45         273.30
DMAC(50,200)         |      -2.5%     |      -1.1%     |      -7.1%         -1.6%          -13.6%         -0.7%           -14.7%         -6.5%
 
%Off_52wH            |     -13.9%     |     -10.2%     |     -23.8%         -13.3%         -32.5%         -21.5%          -33.8%         -27.4%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      116       |      165       |      172             115           164             105            263            123
New_52wH/Yr          |       46       |       17       |        4             5              12             15              2              26
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
8 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
0 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.

  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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