Market Trend Indicators

As of                                               **Friday, May 20, 2022**
 
Including the three(x5) used for Allocation:  **80%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
 Count of new signals in the last 30 days =    **3    (Zero new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                           0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is unlikely next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                       0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is unlikely next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                    3**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New "BEAR" signals are possible in            **11**  market days.
 
Other_MAC: (FYI only)                         **100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
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 **Modern Family:  Status   Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
 S&P 500 Index (.SPx)  **BEARish** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW (EQAL)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
   Russell 2000 (IWM)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
 Transportation (IYT)  **BEARish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
         Retail (XRT)  **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
  Regional Bank (KRE)  **BEARish** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
        BioTech (IBB)  **BEARish** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
  SemiConductor (SMH)  **BEARish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
                  ---    ---                                           ---
 **20-May-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-04  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     5        **100%     |**     5      **100%     |**      2        **40%       |**     15      **100.0%    |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -6.8%       -6.2%  **|**   -12.2%       109.29  **|**      -14.7%           133  **|**  (TP,50d)       -7.5%  **|**         96.10
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -5.9%       -6.1%  **|**   -11.6%       491.07  **|**      -13.3%           133  **|**  (TP,50d)       -7.9%  **|**        435.36
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -4.4%       -4.1%  **|**    -9.4%       155.19  **|**      -10.8%            93  **|**  (TP,50d)       -7.6%  **|**        141.19
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -6.2%       -5.5%  **|**   -14.3%       100.70  **|**      -16.2%            94  **|**  (TP,50d)       -9.9%  **|**         86.67
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -4.0%       -3.1%  **|**   -13.0%      4464.16  **|**      -15.1%            94  **|**  (TP,50d)       -9.7%  **|**       3901.36
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----      -----          -----

More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

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**20-May-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    BEARish     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         BEARish        BEARish        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-27   |   2022-04-28   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-04-28      2022-04-27     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |       23       |       22       |       38             43            127             22              23             39
Signals(3)/Yr        |        8       |       11       |        7             8               8             10              5              8
%Bullish/Yr          |      66%       |      56%       |      38%             35%           35%             49%            31%            62%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -13%      |      -11%      |      -17%           -17%           -19%           -20%           -16%           -19%
Slope(200)           |      -6%       |      -5%       |      -21%            -4%           -37%            -1%           -43%           -12%
Last_Price           |    3901.36     |      41.72     |     176.08         221.00          61.33         59.98           115.61         228.17
50-DMA               |    4302.72     |      44.70     |     194.03         249.01          73.46         65.92           123.66         246.76
200-DMA              |    4467.16     |      45.63     |     212.04         258.42          85.85         69.32           144.55         271.23
DMAC(50,200)         |      -3.7%     |      -2.0%     |      -8.5%         -3.6%          -14.4%         -4.9%           -14.5%         -9.0%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -19%      |      -13%      |      -27%           -21%           -41%           -24%           -34%           -28%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      137       |      186       |      193             136           185             126            284            144
New_52wH/Yr          |       45       |       16       |        4             2              10             13              2              26
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The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
8 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
0 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.

  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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