Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1 
**As of**           **Friday, June 10, 2022**
 
**Including the three(x5) used for Allocation:    93%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
  Count of new signals in the last 30 days =   **1      One new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                             1**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  Expected  next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                         0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  unlikely  next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                      0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
            Next possible 99 day new high is   **-6.8%**  %Off_Hi(99)
 
**Other_MAC: (FYI only)                           100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
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 **Modern Family:  Status   Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
 S&P 500 Index (.SPx)  **BEARish** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW (EQAL)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
   Russell 2000 (IWM)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
 Transportation (IYT)  **BEARish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
         Retail (XRT)  **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
  Regional Bank (KRE)  **BEARish** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
        BioTech (IBB)  **BEARish** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
  SemiConductor (SMH)  **BEARish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
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 **10-Jun-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   Bullish   2022-06-09  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-04  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-07  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     4        **80%     |**     5      **100%     |**      5        **100%      |**     15      **100.0%    |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**       0.0%       -3.1%  **|**   -10.1%       108.65  **|**       -6.8%           148  **|**  (TP,50d)       -3.8%  **|**         97.33
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -3.4%       -4.5%  **|**    -9.7%       488.53  **|**       -7.4%           148  **|**  (TP,50d)       -4.5%  **|**        439.05
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -5.7%       -5.8%  **|**    -8.7%       154.75  **|**       -6.8%           108  **|**  (TP,50d)       -5.6%  **|**        140.71
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -9.1%       -8.4%  **|**   -13.1%        99.98  **|**      -10.4%           108  **|**  (TP,50d)       -6.8%  **|**         86.47
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -4.6%       -4.4%  **|**   -11.6%      4440.74  **|**      -10.1%           108  **|**  (TP,50d)       -6.5%  **|**       3900.86
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----      -----          -----

More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

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**10-Jun-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    BEARish     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         BEARish        BEARish        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-27   |   2022-04-28   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-04-28      2022-04-27     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |       44       |       43       |       59             64            148             43              44             60
Signals(3)/Yr        |        8       |       11       |        6             8               6             10              4              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      61%       |      51%       |      35%             29%           31%             44%            31%            58%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -14%      |      -10%      |      -13%           -13%           -22%            -8%           -18%            -9%
Slope(200)           |      -10%      |      -7%       |      -25%            -9%           -43%            -8%           -44%           -18%
Last_Price           |    3900.86     |      41.79     |     178.59         217.37          63.57         59.75           110.48         223.82
50-DMA               |    4198.14     |      44.04     |     188.50         238.73          69.98         63.63           120.35         238.81
200-DMA              |    4440.29     |      45.47     |     209.53         256.66          83.72         69.16           140.75         269.51
DMAC(50,200)         |      -5.5%     |      -3.1%     |     -10.0%         -7.0%          -16.4%         -8.0%           -14.5%         -11.4%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -19%      |      -13%      |      -26%           -22%           -39%           -24%           -37%           -29%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      158       |      207       |      214             157           206             147            305            165
New_52wH/Yr          |       44       |       11       |        4             2               8             12              2              26
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The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
8 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
0 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.

  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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Correction of error (Count of new signals in the last 30 days)

**As of**           **Friday, June 10, 2022**
 
**Status of the three(x5) used for Allocation:    93%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
  Count of new signals in the last 30 days =   **4      (Four new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                             1**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  Expected  next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                         0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  unlikely  next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                      0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
            Next possible 99 day new high is   **-6.8%**  %Off_Hi(99)
 
**Other_MAC: (FYI only)                           100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
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GD_

2 Likes