Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1 
As of                                               **Friday, June 3, 2022**
 
Including the three(x5) used for Allocation:  **80%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
 Count of new signals in the last 30 days =    **1    (Zero new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                           0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is unlikely next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                       0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New signal is unlikely next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                    3**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
 New "BEAR" signals are expected in            **1**  market days.
 
Other_MAC: (FYI only)                         **100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
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 **Modern Family:  Status   Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
 S&P 500 Index (.SPx)  **BEARish** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW (EQAL)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
   Russell 2000 (IWM)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
 Transportation (IYT)  **BEARish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
         Retail (XRT)  **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
  Regional Bank (KRE)  **BEARish** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
        BioTech (IBB)  **BEARish** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
  SemiConductor (SMH)  **BEARish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
                  ---    ---                                           ---

 **3-Jun-2022       |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-04  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     5        **100%     |**     5      **100%     |**      2        **40%       |**     15      **100.0%    |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -2.5%       -4.6%  **|**    -6.4%       108.88  **|**      -10.0%           143  **|**  (TP,50d)       -0.4%  **|**        102.01
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -4.7%       -6.0%  **|**    -5.9%       489.43  **|**       -9.6%           143  **|**  (TP,50d)       -1.1%  **|**        460.39
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -5.6%       -5.5%  **|**    -4.2%       154.93  **|**       -8.1%           103  **|**  (TP,50d)       -1.6%  **|**        148.17
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -8.2%       -7.5%  **|**    -8.7%       100.24  **|**      -12.7%           104  **|**  (TP,50d)       -3.1%  **|**         91.32
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -4.2%       -4.1%  **|**    -7.5%      4449.31  **|**      -12.0%           104  **|**  (TP,50d)       -3.1%  **|**       4108.54
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More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

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**3-Jun-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    BEARish     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         BEARish        BEARish        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-27   |   2022-04-28   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-04-28      2022-04-27     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |       37       |       36       |       52             57            141             36              37             53
Signals(3)/Yr        |        8       |       11       |        6             8               6             10              5              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      63%       |      53%       |      37%             31%           33%             46%            31%            60%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -16%      |      -12%      |      -17%           -17%           -25%           -13%           -19%           -16%
Slope(200)           |      -9%       |      -6%       |      -24%            -8%           -41%            -5%           -44%           -16%
Last_Price           |    4108.54     |      43.85     |     187.06         233.97          65.83         63.95           116.50         241.72
50-DMA               |    4249.27     |      44.37     |     190.67         243.04          71.27         64.47           121.86         242.96
200-DMA              |    4450.25     |      45.52     |     210.35         257.27          84.46         69.21           142.11         270.14
DMAC(50,200)         |      -4.5%     |      -2.5%     |      -9.4%         -5.5%          -15.6%         -6.9%           -14.3%         -10.1%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -14%      |      -9%       |      -23%           -16%           -37%           -19%           -34%           -24%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      151       |      200       |      207             150           199             140            298            158
New_52wH/Yr          |       45       |       14       |        4             2               9             12              2              26
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The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
8 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
0 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.

  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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