Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1 
**As of**           **Friday, June 24, 2022**
 
**Status of the three(x5) used for Allocation:    100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
  Count of new signals in the last 30 days =   **4      (Zero new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                             0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **unlikely** next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                         0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **unlikely** next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                      0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
            Next possible 99 day new high is   **-14.3%**  %Off_Hi(99)
 
**Other_MAC: (FYI only)                           100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
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 **Modern Family:  Status   Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
 S&P 500 Index (.SPx)  **BEARish** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW (EQAL)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
   Russell 2000 (IWM)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
 Transportation (IYT)  **BEARish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
         Retail (XRT)  **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
  Regional Bank (KRE)  **BEARish** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
        BioTech (IBB)  **BEARish** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
  SemiConductor (SMH)  **BEARish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
                  ---    ---                                           ---

 **24-Jun-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-06-13  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-04  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-07  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     5        **100%     |**     5      **100%     |**      5        **100%      |**     15      **100.0%    |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -6.7%       -6.0%  **|**   -13.3%       107.88  **|**      -15.3%           157  **|**  (TP,50d)       -5.4%  **|**         94.27
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -6.5%       -6.0%  **|**   -13.1%       485.17  **|**      -16.0%           157  **|**  (TP,50d)       -6.1%  **|**        425.44
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -6.9%       -7.3%  **|**   -11.0%       153.88  **|**      -14.3%           117  **|**  (TP,50d)       -5.8%  **|**        138.07
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**     -11.0%      -10.5%  **|**   -13.3%        99.19  **|**      -16.3%           118  **|**  (TP,50d)       -4.7%  **|**         86.62
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -6.8%       -6.2%  **|**   -12.0%      4411.17  **|**      -15.6%           118  **|**  (TP,50d)       -4.5%  **|**       3911.74
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More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

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**24-Jun-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    BEARish     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         BEARish        BEARish        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-27   |   2022-04-28   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-04-28      2022-04-27     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |       58       |       57       |       73             78            162             57              58             74
Signals(3)/Yr        |        8       |       11       |        6             7               6             9               4              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      57%       |      47%       |      31%             28%           27%             40%            27%            55%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -14%      |      -13%      |      -14%           -17%           -23%           -10%           -12%           -11%
Slope(200)           |      -14%      |      -10%      |      -28%           -15%           -47%           -13%           -44%           -24%
Last_Price           |    3911.74     |      40.48     |     175.09         219.28          64.57         59.55           120.04         216.16
50-DMA               |    4065.85     |      42.79     |     182.63         231.73          67.42         62.15           116.54         230.76
200-DMA              |    4406.23     |      45.15     |     206.98         254.74          82.19         68.84           137.94         266.78
DMAC(50,200)         |      -7.7%     |      -5.2%     |     -11.8%         -9.0%          -18.0%         -9.7%           -15.5%         -13.5%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -18%      |      -16%      |      -28%           -22%           -38%           -24%           -32%           -32%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      172       |      221       |      228             171           220             161            319            179
New_52wH/Yr          |       42       |       10       |        4             2               8             12              2              26
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The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
8 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
0 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.

  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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