Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1 
**As of**           **Friday, June 17, 2022**
 
**Status of the three(x5) used for Allocation:    100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
  Count of new signals in the last 30 days =   **4      (Four new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                             0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **unlikely** next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                         0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **unlikely** next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                      0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
            Next possible 99 day new high is   **-14.3%**  %Off_Hi(99)
 
**Other_MAC: (FYI only)                           100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
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 **Modern Family:  Status   Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
 S&P 500 Index (.SPx)  **BEARish** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW (EQAL)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
   Russell 2000 (IWM)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
 Transportation (IYT)  **BEARish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
         Retail (XRT)  **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
  Regional Bank (KRE)  **BEARish** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
        BioTech (IBB)  **BEARish** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
  SemiConductor (SMH)  **BEARish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
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 **17-Jun-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-06-13  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-04  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-07  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     5        **100%     |**     5      **100%     |**      5        **100%      |**     15      **100.0%    |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -3.6%       -4.1%  **|**   -17.1%       108.21  **|**      -14.3%           153  **|**  (TP,50d)      -10.2%  **|**         89.58
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -4.4%       -5.4%  **|**   -16.9%       486.63  **|**      -15.2%           153  **|**  (TP,50d)      -11.0%  **|**        404.83
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -6.3%       -6.9%  **|**   -15.1%       154.26  **|**      -14.5%           113  **|**  (TP,50d)      -11.1%  **|**        131.14
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**     -10.3%       -9.9%  **|**   -18.4%        99.52  **|**      -17.9%           113  **|**  (TP,50d)      -11.1%  **|**         81.30
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -6.6%       -5.7%  **|**   -17.0%      4423.61  **|**      -17.2%           113  **|**  (TP,50d)      -10.8%  **|**       3674.84
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More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

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**17-Jun-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    BEARish     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         BEARish        BEARish        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-27   |   2022-04-28   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-04-28      2022-04-27     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |       51       |       50       |       66             71            155             50              51             67
Signals(3)/Yr        |        8       |       11       |        6             7               6             10              4              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      59%       |      49%       |      33%             28%           29%             42%            29%            56%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -15%      |      -12%      |      -14%           -15%           -24%            -9%           -17%            -9%
Slope(200)           |      -12%      |      -9%       |      -27%           -12%           -45%           -11%           -45%           -22%
Last_Price           |    3674.84     |      38.59     |     165.18         208.08          60.49         57.72           109.56         205.65
50-DMA               |    4117.17     |      43.31     |     184.83         234.08          68.50         62.67           117.81         233.51
200-DMA              |    4420.60     |      45.30     |     208.11         255.56          82.84         68.97           139.12         268.00
DMAC(50,200)         |      -6.9%     |      -4.4%     |     -11.2%         -8.4%          -17.3%         -9.1%           -15.3%         -12.9%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -23%      |      -20%      |      -32%           -26%           -42%           -27%           -38%           -35%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      165       |      214       |      221             164           213             154            312            172
New_52wH/Yr          |       42       |       10       |        4             2               8             12              2              26
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The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
8 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
0 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.

  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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