I only post this because it is such a fascinating contrast to Saul. Since I joined this board, I have found a lot of stocks here that I felt were good investments, however, unlike Saul, I am getting “crushed”. I am not sad or worried, but intrigued and confident these are great companies and currently “over-beaten”. I track my 1YPEG stocks on the MF Scoreboard and currently my XIRR is -12.74% while vs S&P it is -8.94%. Both very poor returns. Why? Well my first buys were Aug 12 and 17, just before the flash crash, so that did not help. I bought some AMBA in Sept, but of course that was very bad timing. I made quite a number of buys in October, which did well through Jan, but of course here we are.
I can’t track monthly returns like Saul, because I don’t have all my investments in 1YPEG, so it is too much trouble to see how that “pot” changes, especially with my “nibble” that throws new cash into the “pot”.
I also have some “exceptions” to the “portfolio”. I did own a good sized chunk of INFN long before I joined up here, so I don’t include that. However, discussions on this board gave me confidence to add more, so the new buys are reflected here. I recently bought CELG, but not because of this board, rather because of an MF service, so I don’t include that. I bought AMZN today, but again, not because it meets 1YPEG criteria (it doesn’t reallY), but because I buy so much stuff from them and it is an MF pick favorite I have been waiting for. Waiting too long of course. (Just got a bag of dog food from Amazon today, another one yesterday, dog treats the day before, something coming tomorrow, etc.)
I have been nibbling more recently and will take some bigger bites next week as I still have cash for stocks set aside. I do like CBM, which has fallen off Saul’s list and I am willing to make SWKS a bigger position at this price and after earnings. I am gun shy of AMBA and will probably just let that ride until I am confident of an earnings trend post-GoPro days. I think CASY is a stock that has years of potential and I need to get more of that. I think I will buy FB “in” my IBD breakout portfolio.
Ticker RETURN S&P VS S&P % PORT.
SWKS -16.89% -2.35% -14.54% 15.32%
DY -13.67% -2.67% -11.00% 13.10%
LGIH -22.32% -3.59% -18.73% 13.03%
SKX -6.79% -4.28% -2.51% 11.15%
ABMD 10.89% -5.22% 16.11% 10.55%
PAYC -25.31% -4.26% -21.05% 10.43%
INFN -11.39% -3.55% -7.83% 6.06%
CASY 0.93% -3.84% 4.77% 5.97%
INBK -13.28% -1.65% -11.63% 5.30%
AMBA -43.46% 0.13% -43.59% 4.90%
SEDG 39.15% -5.79% 44.94% 4.19%
My Stock Advisor Scorecard is -4.61 XIRR
on the bright side, I created a scorecard for all the stocks I sold in 2015 and they are down -37.58% since I sold (-25.64% vs S&P), so those were good decisions.
So you can see, I am a stellar investor and you should really listen to what I say
(I have been 80% cash in my 401K since Jan and I can’t buy individual stocks there, so that has saved me and with the true FTD I will be “buying the market” over the next few days with an eye one 100% in).