The Robots are Coming!

Like I said they have explained it whether you want to believe it is completely up to you. Some people will never understand it, that is completely understandable.

Andy

Can you post a link to where they’ve explained why a robot needs to be shaped like a human in order to work in human spaces, rather than just assumed it?

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sooo… what form factor should a lifeguard robot have?
Aesthetically, a croc or shark form factor should be invigorating?
oh… and no flotation devices. Just teeth and a subscription to ‘dun dun … dun dun…’.

I don’t see the standard ‘factory floor’ robot - humanoid or some other form factor; no floats; sink like a lead weight - being ‘the one’ on the beach look-out platform. At the very least it should have those ‘sand tires’ that are on ‘beach bicycles’?
And maybe a location marker - maybe like a diver down flag, only instead of red-white, it could be blue-white to indicate ‘drowner down’?

Hmm… I never saw Mitch or Pam picking up trash or putting away beach chairs on Baywatch. They were always focused on ‘watching’.
What is the sole objective of a lifeguard?

:slight_smile: :rofl: :joy: :sweat_smile:
ralph boy, I’m sarcastic this morning?

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Yes I can. But I think it would be better that you find it yourself. It would be much more enlightening to you and then you can bring your research back to the rest of us so we can determine if it is reliable or relevant.

Andy

No need to be snarky. I’ve never seen Musk give anything other than a cursory comment about how the human form is necessary for work in human spaces, despite the innumerable counter examples. I’ve watched most of the AI day presentations, and read his statements on Optimus in the earnings calls - but I’ve never seen him get into that. If you happen to know of a situation where he’s gone into greater depth, it would be courteous to tell me about it or point me to it.

I can’t imagine what it would be. We’re a very, very long way towards have the type of AI we could trust with being a lifeguard.

I like Matt Levine’s formulation of the current state of AI - it’s very good at being mediocre at junior white-collar jobs. It’s usually pretty good at preparing a first draft of things. It’s frequently accurate, but prone to occasionally being spectacularly wrong. Which makes it very useful for doing cognitive tasks that are not time-sensitive and are subject to human supervision. “In the moment” life-or-death jobs are probably not a great fit.

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That wasn’t Snarky, that was giving you a nudge to learn something on your own. Sometimes people have already made up their own minds on something and no matter what you tell them or show them they won’t believe. When I realized that you would keep moving the goal posts, after your handful remark, it became clear that the only way for you to learn was to find the information for yourself instead of leaning on me to bring it to you. It’s the lady sitting on the couch eating the bon bon theory.

I have done that only for you to start trying to tear down the credentials of the people that are experts in their field. So please, get off your high horse. I need you to do a little work and stop asking me to give you a brief decertation so you don’t have to spend time learning what you think you are an expert on.

Andy

And this, I submit, is the major assholery of the internet, where someone makes a statement, refuses to support it with evidence, and then demands that the counterparty waste his time finding the elusive evidence and then refuting it, at which time the originator will decide it’s not sufficient (“brilliant”) and pretends to have taught the person a lesson.

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I’m not moving the goal posts. I deliberately used the term “handful,” rather than a number, because it’s fairly obvious that the difference between trying something out as a test and implementing something will depend a lot on the context. To use another current discussion, about Hertz’ efforts with EV’s, they fully implemented EV’s into their fleet because they bought many tens of thousands of them, rather than doing a pilot program with a few hundred.

For robots, Amazon has implemented a solid program of roboticizing their facilities. They have many thousands of robots in their warehouses, and tens of thousands of workers. A pilot or test program in their facilities will have more robots than if a small transhipping firm with no more than a few score workers decides to go all-in on robots.

I’m not tearing down their credentials. I just haven’t seen anything where they have explained why the human form is necessary for doing these types of jobs. If you’re telling me they never have - that they should be trusted simply because they say it’s true and they’re experts - then that’s one thing, and obviously there’s no point in discussing it further. But if you’re saying they have outlined their reasoning for why a human form is necessary for a robot to operate in human spaces (again, despite the counterexamples), I would love to read it.

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No the assholery of the internet is where someone keeps bringing up information where another person refutes it without even supplying any refuting evidence but his own opinion. Making himself seem brilliant, Then the major assholery coming in with MOCK outrage.

Andy

So now you want to argue about what a handful means?

Andy

I don’t. I thought that my use of the term “handful” would have been understood as being a proportionately small number - something that indicated that the company was trying them out or doing a pilot program instead of fully committing to implementing them. That’s why I didn’t use a number like “7,” because that the difference between a pilot/test program and implementation will be different depending on the size of the firm. A company the size of Amazon, “7” is not enough robots to show that they’re doing anything more than testing them out and taking a flyer on whether they’re useful or not. If you prefer that I use a term different than “handful” to capture that sense, I’m fine with using a different term, and consider my prior comments amended to whatever word you think works.

And again, if you’ve got a link to someone actually laying out the actual argument why a robot needs to be human shaped in order to work in a human space like a factory, I’d love to read it.

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I would love for you to give me a link to an actual argument on why a robot shouldn’t be human shaped in order to work in a factory. One link on why that would be a bad idea or wouldn’t work.

Andy

I’m not saying it shouldn’t be human shaped. I’m saying it’s not necessary for it to be human shaped.

The actual argument is by counter-example. There are literally thousands and thousands of robots working in factories that aren’t human shaped. Robots in factories that don’t need to move are built to be stationary; robots that need to move are built with wheels, because factories (almost entirely) have flat smooth floors or have ramps, and generally don’t have stairs.

So what’s the reason for building factory or warehouse robots with legs?

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No links, but off the top of my head I could see it being more, and possibly a lot more, expensive to produce life-like robots than generic box robots; also, there my be an OSHA type issue if there were some confusion (at a distance maybe?) about what is a human and what is not, presuming there are at least some human types around and having to respond to an emergency or other safety concern.

Pete

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Here’s an idea: Wheels or tracks are faster and more stable than legs. You don’t need a head for anything, so why include it?

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You need to invert that. What is the reason for not building robots with legs?

Just one link, one white paper on why this shouldn’t be done? Your whole thesis is built on conjecture?

I have never seen one link on why we shouldn’t build robots with legs. I have seen many links on how hard it is but never one on why we shouldn’t do it.

Andy

That would be easy to fix by making the robots fluorescent orange or some other distinguishing color.

Andy

I understand what albaby1 is getting at but not sure how many are.

If biology could have evolved to create axles, bearings and wheels that can spin 360 degree ad infinitum would we even have legs? Given we do, what is the benefit to 2 legs versus the more stable 4? (and we’ve seen 4-legged robots). Or four independently steerable wheels?

We are creating robots in our own image. Are we SURE this is the best image to create them in? Or is it just familiar to us?

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Doesn’t that answer your question? If you have links on why it’s really hard, and it’s easy to build robots with wheels (because we have literally thousands and thousands of examples), doesn’t that provide you with the argument for why we shouldn’t build robots with legs? In the absence of some reason to build robots with legs instead of stationary or with wheels, you would implement the design that is easier to implement.

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