Weibo (WB)

Just throwing this into the ring. Essentially, its a sort of Facebook/Twitter hybrid in China, growing monthly active users at about a 30-35% clip (whereas Twitter has stalled out), and has found a way to be profitable.

1 year PEG at 0.35 if I calculated correctly.

last 8 quarters earnings:

Most recent —> less recent
0.16
0.07
0.32
0.10
0.05
0.01
0.04
-0.01

I cant find a good reason for the 0.32 rise 3 quarters ago.

Thoughts?

I hate to be cynical and Weibo may be a great investment but it’s a Chinese company and who knows about the accounting and the books. I’ve been burned badly in the past and there are so many other great opportunities out there.

David

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My wife is Chinese and a committed user of Weibo. I use WeChat (the Americanized version) to exchange messages/photos/etc with her. It’s a good, popular platform. My wife can video chat with friends in China without concern of burning her usage quota.

That’s all good and fine, but beware Chinese accounting. Sometime ago I promised Saul (in an off-board exchange) that I would provide a write-up on my impressions of trading in China and the implications for trading Chinese ADRs. I never followed through. Maybe I’ll get motivated and write it up.