California could ban new natural gas heaters after 2030

Ditching fossil-gas furnaces and water heaters isn’t just good for the climate. Research shows it’s a smart move for human health.

Later this month, the California Air Resources Board is expected to vote on proposed air-quality standards that would bar the sale of gas-fueled furnaces and water heaters in the state after 2030. If approved, it would be the first zero-emissions target for building heating systems from a state air regulator in the U.S.

This new ban would join a range of California policies encouraging the shift from gas to electric heating and appliances, from last year’s passage of electric-friendly building codes to this month’s decision ending utility subsidies for extending gas pipelines to new buildings. It would also dovetail with the various types of gas bans passed by more than 60 city and county governments across the state.

Indoor fossil fuel use accounts for roughly 12 percent of total U.S. carbon emissions, making it an important target for efforts to combat climate change. But CARB’s proposal, which is part of a much broader plan to move the state toward compliance with federal Clean Air Act standards, isn’t primarily justified by the goal of reducing carbon emissions. Instead, it’s intended to reduce the nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions that contribute to smog-forming and health-harming ozone and particulate air pollution.

A growing body of scientific evidence shows that emissions from burning gas to heat buildings, cook food and dry clothes are a far more significant source of NOx emissions than previously realized. Beyond being a precursor to the formation of smog, NOx can be a significant cause and exacerbator of asthma, heart disease and other health problems on its own.

“More than half of all Californians live in areas with unsafe levels of ozone pollution,” as do 99 percent of all disadvantaged communities in the state, said Denise Grab, a principal on the Carbon-Free Building team of nonprofit decarbonization think tank RMI. (Canary Media is an independent affiliate of RMI.) This map shows how much of California remains in ​“nonattainment” status for ozone pollution under U.S. Environmental Protection Agency regulations, which means they exceed the limits set forth in one or more of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards.

Air regulators in California’s San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles Basin areas project significant health improvements from the zero-emissions heating regulations they’re developing, which could expand on CARB’s statewide regulations. Heat pumps can both heat and cool more efficiently than air conditioners or gas-fired or electric resistance heaters alone, lowering energy bills in the long run. And incentivizing heat pumps in the roughly 3.4 million California homes that lack central air conditioning could provide cost-efficient cooling during the state’s increasingly dangerous heat waves, according to the report from RMI, the Sierra Club and the San Francisco Bay Area Planning and Urban Research Association.

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Welcome to “gas kitchen range ban outrage” part 2.

Steve

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I do love my gas range and gas barbecue.

Andy

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More than your health and welfare?
More than the health and welfare of earth?
Would you go for hydrogen gas instead of fossil gas?

Me too loving FIRE to cook. Best of all over a wilderness campfire using a Dutch Oven. But highly inefficient, destructive in modern context, significantly dangerous around modern children who are CLUELESS of danger, and passing away away away.

But then, same as me loving all manner of things that must and are passing away.

david fb

P.S. my favorite stove by far of all time used one big burner under the center of a large chunck of thick cast iron. You adjusted the heating to any pot by moving closer or further from the center, and so brought two gallons of water to boiling rapidly at the center while melting chocolate at the corners. Dead Steady Heat, and if you were cooking a banquet for 8 extremely efficient.

https://www.subzero-wolf.com/wolf/ranges/dual-fuel/48-inch-dual-fuel-range-4-burners-french-top

But electro-magnetic induction beats that all to hell with far better control and no wasted heat.

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Yes there are just so many things you can give up to be healthy.

Well that is a problem isn’t it. But when you give up all forms of Hydrocarbons then let me know but since you are still using natural gas does it really matter if I do?

Sure if you can get it piped to my house I would be glad to give it a try.

Andy

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Yes a Dutch oven’s are great.

But here is the problem. What are you go to use to cook your food when you are out in the wilderness? Let’s say you just were fly fishing on a mountain lake 100 miles from civilization and you caught 10 trout for breakfast? Are you going to cook them over a fire?

Andy

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I do not use natural gas for cooking or heating. I use electricity or wood as a backup.

Well wood is a hydrocarbon. Also depending on your electricity you could be using coal or Natural Gas to power the electrical generators. So as I said, give up all of your hydrocarbons and then we can talk.

Andy

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In 2013, 8.6 trillion cubic feet of natural gas was used to generate electricity in the US.
In 2022, that number had increased to 12.38 trillion cubic feet.
8.6 going to 12.38 is a 44% increase over that time.

If the government says everyone must use an electric stove instead of gas, the gas will still be burned. It will just be burned in power plants instead of people’s homes.

But, when you burn gas on a stove, all of the gas goes to producing heat. The average thermal efficiency of natural gas-fired power plants in the US is less than 50%! Most of the heat from the gas combustion is wasted to the environment. Put another way, the energy coming out of the electric stove is less than half of the energy originally contained in the gas.

  • Pete
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It’s not that simple.

  1. A lot of the heat on your gas stove is wasted. REALLY quite a lot of it. It is very noticeable in the winter.
  2. Using electric cooktops, especially induction cooktops, are very efficient as most of the heat is directed into the pot and the food inside it. Some escapes around the edges, but not nearly as much as with open gas flames.
  3. Gas flames inside the home mean that the waste product is spread around inside the home right into the air you breathe. Gas fired electric plants are located in more remote places and usually have waste product exhausts far above where the humans are located.
  4. Only some portion of electricity is generated via gas, other portions are nuclear/wind/solar/hydro/etc. So only a portion of your electricity comes with emissions.
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Sure but how much of that NG was replacing coal, more or less?

Mike

It might depend some on the type and size of your cookware, but sure, there is some heat that goes around the pan or pot and into the kitchen space. In the winter, that is not necessarily a bad thing. That is energy that your home furnace or heat pump doesn’t need to produce. In the summer, wasted heat will make your air conditioner work harder, so that’s a bad thing. But people also tend to grill more outside in the summer, or prepare meals that don’t use a lot of energy, so as to keep the kitchen cooler. Yes, there are a lot of variables.

  • Pete

In context, in that same time period coal consumption decreased by 54% and renewables increased by 74%.

The energy mix has gotten a lot cleaner over that time period, in other words.

This is only for new construction. California renewable energy targets call for 90% renewable or non-carbon energy by 2035. So the heating energy for most of that new construction likely won’t be coming from natural gas. It will be coming mostly from non-carbon and renewable energy.

From the EIA, the following are the coal, NG and renewables (excluding hydro). Renewables are the sum of large scale solar, small scale solar (if reported), plus the other renewables such as wind, biomass, geothermal, etc. (but not hydro). Units are thousands of megawatt-hours produced for each year.

Year          Coal       NG         Renew.
2013       1,581,115  1,124,836    253,508 
2022         828,993  1,689,465    709,382
            --------  ---------    -------
Difference  -752,122   +564,629   +455,874

Electricity generation from coal is down. Renewables are up, but not as much as Natural Gas. As I have repeated here and elsewhere, the large additions of intermittent wind and solar locks the US into continued fossil fuel use. The intermittent natures of wind and solar require a dispatchable, quick-responding backup source in order to balance supply with demand. Large scale batteries can supply power for a few hours, but not the 24/7 dispatchable energy the grid needs.

We had better hope that natural gas remains cheap and plentiful here in the US. In the mean time, the fracking revolution continues.

  • Pete
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Your assumptions are wrong. Wood is a renewable and is OK for emergency use when electricity is not available. My electricy is 100% renewable. So what do you now say?

you caught 10 trout for breakfast? Are you going to cook them over a fire?

Yes, if I am in deep wilderness well below tree line, YES!! Maybe right on the coals of a well laid fire. But mostly I am near or above timberline and would saute them with wild onions in oil over a butane stove.

david fb

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I would say that renewable doesn’t mean what you think it means.

Andy

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Yes and I fed half of them to my lab. But there are very few lakes above the tree line.
Here is a stock picture of Liberty Lake on the Ruby Crest trail that sits about 10,000 feet up.

While there are few trees it’s enough for a camp fire. :joy: :joy:

Andy

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Uhm, I believe those are either bristlecone or silver pines and my family considers those to be above “timberline”. We were mostly logging engineers for two generations (1850 - 1910) and we do not consider those little gorgeous high altitude trees to be timber. We think of them as friends.

david fb

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