Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1

Including the three(x5) used for Allocation 4 of 15 indicators are “BEARish” (Same as last week).

“Modern Family”: Three(IBB,XRT,IWM) continue flashing “BEARish” and one(KRE) “Bullish” signal.

PO’s: Three of five are “Bullish”.
No new signals are expected next week.

MAC(10m): Three of five are “Bullish”
No “BEAR” signals are expected next week, one MAC is negative but not yet timed out.

DBE(99d,5m): All of five are “Bullish”.
No “BEAR” signals possible for the next 39d.

 **11-Feb-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC   Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====       =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |   Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-07  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   Bullish      2020-08-10  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-01  **|**    2020-11-19
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-25  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   Bullish      2021-10-20  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-11  **|**    2020-11-11
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   Bullish   2020-06-19  **|** Bullish    2020-07-21  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**   BEARish   2022-01-31  **|**    2020-10-06
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   Bullish   2020-06-26  **|** Bullish    2020-06-02  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**   BEARish   2022-01-20  **|**    2020-05-22
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   Bullish   2020-06-15  **|** Bullish    2020-06-01  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**   BEARish   2022-01-28  **|**    2020-05-22
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     2        **40%     |**     2      **40%      |**      0        **0%       |**     9        **60.0%     |** 
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----
 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |    Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -3.7%       -5.9%  **|**    -4.3%       111.56  **|**      -10.1%            66  **|** (50d,200d)       -1.1%  **|**        106.39
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -5.0%       -4.1%  **|**    -2.5%       497.38  **|**       -6.2%            66  **|** (50d,200d)        0.0%  **|**        482.44
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**       0.1%        1.2%  **|**     1.2%       154.36  **|**       -2.7%            26  **|**   (TP,50d)       -1.3%  **|**        155.32
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**       0.5%        1.5%  **|**    -1.5%       101.05  **|**       -5.0%            26  **|**   (TP,50d)       -3.6%  **|**         98.81
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**       3.3%        3.7%  **|**     0.2%      4437.93  **|**       -4.7%            26  **|**   (TP,50d)       -3.4%  **|**       4418.64
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----

More TMF detail: Market Trend Indicators ( Intermediate-Term )
TMF: Market Trend Indicators for 2022 / Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

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 **11-Feb-2022**     |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
 Family Titles:   |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
 Index: (daily)      |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
 **Symbol:      |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
 __Status:(3)*      |      Watch     |    Warning     |    BEARish         Warning       BEARish         Bullish        BEARish         Watch__
LastD_Change         |   2022-01-20   |   2022-01-24   |   2022-01-19     2022-01-21     2022-01-13     2022-02-10      2021-11-24     2022-01-24
Since_Change         |       22       |       18       |       23             21             29             1               79             18
Signals(3)/Yr        |        3       |        7       |        6             5               8             8               6              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      89%       |      75%       |      63%             57%           62%             70%            39%            77%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |    Support     |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance      Support
 
Slope(50)            |      -6%       |      -3%       |      -13%            -4%           -18%            7%            -21%           -15%
Slope(200)           |      11%       |       2%       |      -6%             1%            -11%            12%           -14%            23%
Last Price           |    4418.64     |      45.09     |     201.38         257.88          79.44         74.19           130.07         265.25
50-DMA               |    4608.75     |      45.91     |     211.90         266.84          85.79         72.52           141.82         293.63
200-DMA              |    4452.06     |      45.86     |     221.63         262.77          92.75         69.05           156.21         270.83
DMAC(50,200)         |      3.5%      |      0.1%      |      -4.4%          1.6%           -7.5%          5.0%           -9.2%          8.4%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -7.9%     |      -6.2%     |     -17.0%         -7.9%          -23.7%         -5.8%           -26.2%         -16.2%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |       39       |       88       |       95             38             87             28             186             46
New_52wH/Yr          |       62       |       30       |        7             30             15             25              2              29
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

 **Family Titles      Index              Symbol  Roles: leading indicators for how much follow through the major indices might experience**
|    Mid Blend     |  Russell 1000EW  |   **EQAL** - gauge the health of many Large-Mid companies within the U.S.
|   *"Grandpa"* |  Russell 2000    |   **IWM** *- gauge the health of many Small-Micro companies within the U.S.*
|   *"Tran"* |  Transportation  |   **IYT** *- measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand*
|   *"Grandma"* |  Retail          |   **XRT** *- measure strength economy and consumer confidence*
|  *"Prodigal Son"* |  Regional Bank   |   **KRE** *- measure the health of financial system in the U.S.*
|  *"Big Brother"* |  BioTech         |   **IBB** *- highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing*
|   *"Sister"* |  SemiConductor   |   **SMH** *- innovation: a major player technology trends*

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Intermedate-Term Trend indicators give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).

  • “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
  • “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages.
  • “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages.
  • “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages.
  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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