Market Trend Indicators

MapG · February 11, 2022, 5:28pm

Including the three(x5) used for Allocation 4 of 15 indicators are “BEARish” (Same as last week).

“Modern Family”: Three(IBB,XRT,IWM) continue flashing “BEARish” and one(KRE) “Bullish” signal.

PO’s: Three of five are “Bullish”.
No new signals are expected next week.

MAC(10m): Three of five are “Bullish”
No “BEAR” signals are expected next week, one MAC is negative but not yet timed out.

DBE(99d,5m): All of five are “Bullish”.
No “BEAR” signals possible for the next 39d.

 **11-Feb-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC   Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====       =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |   Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-07  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   Bullish      2020-08-10  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-01  **|**    2020-11-19
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-25  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   Bullish      2021-10-20  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-11  **|**    2020-11-11
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   Bullish   2020-06-19  **|** Bullish    2020-07-21  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**   BEARish   2022-01-31  **|**    2020-10-06
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   Bullish   2020-06-26  **|** Bullish    2020-06-02  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**   BEARish   2022-01-20  **|**    2020-05-22
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   Bullish   2020-06-15  **|** Bullish    2020-06-01  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**   BEARish   2022-01-28  **|**    2020-05-22
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     2        **40%     |**     2      **40%      |**      0        **0%       |**     9        **60.0%     |** 
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----
 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |    Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -3.7%       -5.9%  **|**    -4.3%       111.56  **|**      -10.1%            66  **|** (50d,200d)       -1.1%  **|**        106.39
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -5.0%       -4.1%  **|**    -2.5%       497.38  **|**       -6.2%            66  **|** (50d,200d)        0.0%  **|**        482.44
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**       0.1%        1.2%  **|**     1.2%       154.36  **|**       -2.7%            26  **|**   (TP,50d)       -1.3%  **|**        155.32
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**       0.5%        1.5%  **|**    -1.5%       101.05  **|**       -5.0%            26  **|**   (TP,50d)       -3.6%  **|**         98.81
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**       3.3%        3.7%  **|**     0.2%      4437.93  **|**       -4.7%            26  **|**   (TP,50d)       -3.4%  **|**       4418.64
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----

GD_

MapG · February 11, 2022, 5:30pm

 **11-Feb-2022**     |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
 Family Titles:   |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
 Index: (daily)      |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
 **Symbol:      |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
 __Status:(3)*      |      Watch     |    Warning     |    BEARish         Warning       BEARish         Bullish        BEARish         Watch__
LastD_Change         |   2022-01-20   |   2022-01-24   |   2022-01-19     2022-01-21     2022-01-13     2022-02-10      2021-11-24     2022-01-24
Since_Change         |       22       |       18       |       23             21             29             1               79             18
Signals(3)/Yr        |        3       |        7       |        6             5               8             8               6              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      89%       |      75%       |      63%             57%           62%             70%            39%            77%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |    Support     |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance      Support
 
Slope(50)            |      -6%       |      -3%       |      -13%            -4%           -18%            7%            -21%           -15%
Slope(200)           |      11%       |       2%       |      -6%             1%            -11%            12%           -14%            23%
Last Price           |    4418.64     |      45.09     |     201.38         257.88          79.44         74.19           130.07         265.25
50-DMA               |    4608.75     |      45.91     |     211.90         266.84          85.79         72.52           141.82         293.63
200-DMA              |    4452.06     |      45.86     |     221.63         262.77          92.75         69.05           156.21         270.83
DMAC(50,200)         |      3.5%      |      0.1%      |      -4.4%          1.6%           -7.5%          5.0%           -9.2%          8.4%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -7.9%     |      -6.2%     |     -17.0%         -7.9%          -23.7%         -5.8%           -26.2%         -16.2%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |       39       |       88       |       95             38             87             28             186             46
New_52wH/Yr          |       62       |       30       |        7             30             15             25              2              29
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

 **Family Titles      Index              Symbol  Roles: leading indicators for how much follow through the major indices might experience**
|    Mid Blend     |  Russell 1000EW  |   **EQAL** - gauge the health of many Large-Mid companies within the U.S.
|   *"Grandpa"* |  Russell 2000    |   **IWM** *- gauge the health of many Small-Micro companies within the U.S.*
|   *"Tran"* |  Transportation  |   **IYT** *- measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand*
|   *"Grandma"* |  Retail          |   **XRT** *- measure strength economy and consumer confidence*
|  *"Prodigal Son"* |  Regional Bank   |   **KRE** *- measure the health of financial system in the U.S.*
|  *"Big Brother"* |  BioTech         |   **IBB** *- highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing*
|   *"Sister"* |  SemiConductor   |   **SMH** *- innovation: a major player technology trends*

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Intermedate-Term Trend indicators give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).

“BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
“Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages.
“Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages.
“Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages.
“Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
“Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_