Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1

Including the three(x5) used for Allocation 7 of 15 indicators are “BEARish” (Three more than last week).

“Modern Family”: Four(IBB,XRT,IWM,EQAL) continue “Bearish” and one(KRE) “Bullish” signal.

PO’s: One of five are “Bullish”.
No new “BEAR” signal expected next week.

MAC(10m): Two of five are “Bullish”
New “BEAR” signals possible next week, all five MAC are negative but not yet timed out.

DBE(99d,5m): All of five are “Bullish”.
No new “BEAR” signals possible for the next 30d.

Other_MAC: FYI only

 **25-Feb-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC   Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====       =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |   Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-07  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   Bullish      2020-08-10  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-01  **|**    2020-11-19
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-25  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   Bullish      2021-10-20  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-11  **|**    2020-11-11
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** Bullish    2020-07-21  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**   BEARish   2022-01-31  **|**    2020-10-06
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-25  **|**    2020-05-22
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   Bullish   2020-06-15  **|** Bullish    2020-06-01  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**   BEARish   2022-01-28  **|**    2020-05-22
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     4        **80%     |**     3      **60%      |**      0        **0%       |**     10       **66.7%     |** 
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----
 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |    Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -2.7%       -4.5%  **|**    -4.4%       111.39  **|**      -11.4%            75  **|** (50d,200d)       -1.9%  **|**        107.23
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -3.6%       -4.0%  **|**    -3.2%       496.68  **|**       -8.7%            75  **|** (50d,200d)       -0.7%  **|**        485.67
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -1.4%       -0.6%  **|**    -0.4%       154.63  **|**       -5.9%            35  **|**   (TP,50d)       -2.3%  **|**        155.16
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -1.9%       -0.3%  **|**    -3.6%       101.11  **|**       -9.0%            36  **|**  (TP,210d)       -3.6%  **|**         98.21
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**       1.8%        2.4%  **|**    -2.1%      4446.10  **|**       -8.8%            36  **|**   (TP,50d)       -4.5%  **|**       4384.65
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----

More TMF detail: Market Trend Indicators ( Intermediate-Term )
TMF: Market Trend Indicators for 2022 / Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

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 **25-Feb-2022**     |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
 Family Titles:   |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
 Index: (daily)      |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
 **Symbol:      |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
 __Status:(3)*      |    Warning     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         Warning       BEARish         Bullish        BEARish        Warning__
LastD_Change         |   2022-01-20   |   2022-02-18   |   2022-01-19     2022-01-21     2022-01-13     2022-02-10      2021-11-24     2022-01-24
Since_Change         |       36       |        7       |       37             35             43             15              93             32
Signals(3)/Yr        |        3       |        8       |        6             5               8             8               6              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      85%       |      72%       |      59%             53%           58%             70%            35%            73%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -10%      |      -6%       |      -13%            -6%           -18%            4%            -24%           -18%
Slope(200)           |       9%       |       1%       |      -8%             2%            -15%            13%           -20%            19%
Last_Price           |    4384.65     |      45.01     |     202.50         259.75          77.26         73.84           126.29         270.48
50-DMA               |    4558.81     |      45.67     |     208.52         265.39          83.19         73.08           137.66         287.07
200-DMA              |    4460.74     |      45.85     |     220.68         262.12          92.05         69.23           155.15         272.25
DMAC(50,200)         |      2.2%      |      -0.4%     |      -5.5%          1.2%           -9.6%          5.6%           -11.3%         5.4%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -8.6%     |      -6.3%     |     -16.5%         -7.2%          -25.8%         -6.3%           -28.3%         -14.6%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |       53       |      102       |      109             52            101             42             200             60
New_52wH/Yr          |       61       |       27       |        7             24             15             19              2              27
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

 **Family Titles      Index              Symbol  Roles: leading indicators for how much follow through the major indices might experience**
|    Mid Blend     |  Russell 1000EW  |   **EQAL** - gauge the health of many Large-Mid companies within the U.S.
|   *"Grandpa"* |  Russell 2000    |   **IWM** *- gauge the health of many Small-Micro companies within the U.S.*
|   *"Tran"* |  Transportation  |   **IYT** *- measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand*
|   *"Grandma"* |  Retail          |   **XRT** *- measure strength economy and consumer confidence*
|  *"Prodigal Son"* |  Regional Bank   |   **KRE** *- measure the health of financial system in the U.S.*
|  *"Big Brother"* |  BioTech         |   **IBB** *- highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing*
|   *"Sister"* |  SemiConductor   |   **SMH** *- innovation: a major player technology trends*

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Intermedate-Term Trend indicators give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).

  • “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
  • “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages.
  • “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages.
  • “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages.
  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

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