Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1

Including the three(x5) used for Allocation 4 of 15 indicators are “BEARish” (Same as last week).

“Modern Family”: Three(IBB,XRT,IWM) continue “BEARish”, one(EQAL) now “Bearish” and one(KRE) “Bullish” signal.

PO’s: Three of five are “Bullish”.
One possible new “BEAR” signal expected next week.

MAC(10m): Three of five are “Bullish”
One possible new “BEAR” signal expected next week, all five MAC are negative but not yet timed out.

DBE(99d,5m): All of five are “Bullish”.
No new “BEAR” signals possible for the next 35d.

Other_MAC: FYI only

 **18-Feb-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC   Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====       =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |   Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-07  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   Bullish      2020-08-10  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-01  **|**    2020-11-19
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-25  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   Bullish      2021-10-20  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-11  **|**    2020-11-11
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   Bullish   2020-06-19  **|** Bullish    2020-07-21  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**   BEARish   2022-01-31  **|**    2020-10-06
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   Bullish   2020-06-26  **|** Bullish    2020-06-02  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**   BEARish   2022-01-20  **|**    2020-05-22
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   Bullish   2020-06-15  **|** Bullish    2020-06-01  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**   BEARish   2022-01-28  **|**    2020-05-22
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     2        **40%     |**     2      **40%      |**      0        **0%       |**     9        **60.0%     |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |    Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -2.6%       -4.8%  **|**    -4.5%       111.51  **|**      -10.1%            70  **|** (50d,200d)       -1.5%  **|**        106.16
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -3.7%       -4.2%  **|**    -3.1%       497.23  **|**       -7.3%            70  **|** (50d,200d)       -0.3%  **|**        480.12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -0.9%        0.2%  **|**    -0.5%       154.56  **|**       -4.6%            30  **|**   (TP,50d)       -2.7%  **|**        153.55
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -0.7%        0.8%  **|**    -3.6%       101.13  **|**       -7.0%            31  **|**   (TP,50d)       -5.0%  **|**         97.28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**       2.6%        3.1%  **|**    -2.0%      4444.07  **|**       -6.8%            31  **|**   (TP,50d)       -5.0%  **|**       4348.87
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----

More TMF detail: Market Trend Indicators ( Intermediate-Term )
TMF: Market Trend Indicators for 2022 / Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

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 **18-Feb-2022**     |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
 Family Titles:   |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
 Index: (daily)      |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
 **Symbol:      |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
 __Status:(3)*      |      Watch     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         Warning       BEARish         Bullish        BEARish         Watch__
LastD_Change         |   2022-01-20   |   2022-02-18   |   2022-01-19     2022-01-21     2022-01-13     2022-02-10      2021-11-24     2022-01-24
Since_Change         |       29       |        0       |       30             28             36             8               86             25
Signals(3)/Yr        |        3       |        8       |        6             5               8             8               6              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      87%       |      73%       |      61%             55%           60%             70%            37%            75%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |    Support     |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance      Support
 
Slope(50)            |      -8%       |      -5%       |      -12%            -4%           -17%            7%            -23%           -16%
Slope(200)           |      10%       |       2%       |      -7%             2%            -13%            13%           -17%            21%
Last_Price           |    4348.87     |      44.49     |     199.47         260.32          77.92         73.54           125.04         265.25
50-DMA               |    4588.38     |      45.83     |     210.13         266.37          84.44         72.87           139.62         290.11
200-DMA              |    4457.91     |      45.87     |     221.10         262.51          92.40         69.17           155.62         271.63
DMAC(50,200)         |      2.9%      |      -0.1%     |      -5.0%          1.5%           -8.6%          5.3%           -10.3%         6.8%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -9.3%     |      -7.4%     |     -17.8%         -7.0%          -25.2%         -6.7%           -29.0%         -16.2%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |       46       |       95       |      102             45             94             35             193             53
New_52wH/Yr          |       61       |       28       |        7             27             15             22              2              27
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

 **Family Titles      Index              Symbol  Roles: leading indicators for how much follow through the major indices might experience**
|    Mid Blend     |  Russell 1000EW  |   **EQAL** - gauge the health of many Large-Mid companies within the U.S.
|   *"Grandpa"* |  Russell 2000    |   **IWM** *- gauge the health of many Small-Micro companies within the U.S.*
|   *"Tran"* |  Transportation  |   **IYT** *- measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand*
|   *"Grandma"* |  Retail          |   **XRT** *- measure strength economy and consumer confidence*
|  *"Prodigal Son"* |  Regional Bank   |   **KRE** *- measure the health of financial system in the U.S.*
|  *"Big Brother"* |  BioTech         |   **IBB** *- highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing*
|   *"Sister"* |  SemiConductor   |   **SMH** *- innovation: a major player technology trends*

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Intermedate-Term Trend indicators give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).

  • “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
  • “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages.
  • “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages.
  • “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages.
  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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Alerts

9:30 IWM Russell 2000 reached a new 52 week low today

9:30 SPY SP500 price reached a new 26 week low today

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