Market Trend Indicators

As of Friday, March 4, 2022

Including the three(x5) used for Allocation: 9 of fifteen indicators are “BEARish”.
Two additonal “BEAR” signals since last week.

PO’s: 1 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
No new signal expected next week.

MAC(10m): 0 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
No new signal expected next week.

DBE(99d,5m): 5 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
No new “BEAR” signal possible for the next 25 market days.

Other_MAC: (FYI only) 13 of fifteen indicators are “BEARish”.

 
**Modern Family:  Symbol:  Status:  Roles - leading indicators for how much follow through the major indices might experience**
S&P 500 Index     .SPx   **Warning** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW    EQAL   **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Large-Mid companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000      IWM    **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-Micro companies within the U.S.
Transportation    IYT    **Warning** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail            XRT    **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Bank     KRE    **Bullish** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech           IBB    **BEARish** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor     SMH    **Warning** - innovation: a major player technology trends
      ---         ---      ---                                               ---
 **4-Mar-2022       |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC   Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====       =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |   Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-07  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   Bullish      2020-08-10  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-01  **|**    2020-11-19
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-25  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   Bullish      2021-10-20  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-11  **|**    2020-11-11
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-03-04  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**   BEARish   2022-03-04  **|**    2020-10-06
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**   BEARish   2022-03-03  **|**    2020-05-22
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   Bullish   2020-06-15  **|** BEARish    2022-03-03  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**   BEARish   2022-03-03  **|**    2020-05-22
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     4        **80%     |**     5      **100%     |**      0        **0%       |**     13       **86.7%     |** 
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----
 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |    Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -2.5%       -3.5%  **|**    -4.6%       111.28  **|**      -10.2%            80  **|** (50d,200d)       -2.1%  **|**        106.33
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -3.2%       -3.8%  **|**    -3.9%       496.29  **|**       -7.9%            80  **|** (50d,200d)       -1.0%  **|**        477.19
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -1.2%       -1.2%  **|**    -1.1%       154.74  **|**       -5.5%            40  **|**  (TP,210d)       -1.1%  **|**        153.58
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -2.9%       -1.6%  **|**    -4.7%       101.14  **|**       -8.5%            41  **|** (50d,200d)       -0.2%  **|**         96.61
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**       1.2%        1.7%  **|**    -3.0%      4450.06  **|**       -8.3%            41  **|**  (TP,210d)       -3.0%  **|**       4328.87
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----

More TMF detail: Market Trend Indicators ( Intermediate-Term )
TMF: Market Trend Indicators for 2022 / Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

8 Likes
**4-Mar-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    Warning     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         Warning       BEARish         Bullish        BEARish        Warning__
LastD_Change         |   2022-01-20   |   2022-02-18   |   2022-01-19     2022-01-21     2022-01-13     2022-02-10      2021-11-24     2022-01-24
Since_Change         |       43       |       14       |       44             42             50             22             100             39
Signals(3)/Yr        |        3       |        8       |        6             5               8             8               5              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      83%       |      70%       |      57%             51%           56%             70%            34%            71%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -11%      |      -7%       |      -13%            -8%           -18%            0%            -22%           -20%
Slope(200)           |       7%       |       0%       |      -10%            2%            -18%            14%           -24%            16%
Last_Price           |    4328.87     |      44.95     |     198.66         258.70          75.48         70.03           122.57         255.35
50-DMA               |    4529.66     |      45.58     |     207.15         264.73          82.08         73.42           134.87         283.43
200-DMA              |    4466.07     |      45.85     |     220.24         261.70          91.66         69.27           154.55         273.06
DMAC(50,200)         |      1.4%      |      -0.6%     |      -5.9%          1.2%          -10.4%          6.0%           -12.7%         3.8%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -9.8%     |      -6.5%     |     -18.1%         -7.6%          -27.5%         -11.1%          -30.4%         -19.3%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |       60       |      109       |      116             59            108             49             207             67
New_52wH/Yr          |       61       |       27       |        7             23             15             19              2              27
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Intermedate-Term Trend indicators give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
4 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
3 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages.
0 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages.
1 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages.

  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

4 Likes