Market Trend Indicators

MapG · March 11, 2022, 5:48pm

As of Friday, March 11, 2022

Including the three(x5) used for Allocation: 9 of fifteen indicators are “BEARish”.
Two additonal “BEAR” signals since last week.

PO’s: 1 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
No new signal expected next week.

MAC(10m): 0 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
No new signal expected next week.

DBE(99d,5m): 5 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
No new “BEAR” signal possible for the next 20 market days.

Other_MAC: (FYI only) 13 of fifteen indicators are “BEARish”.

 
**Modern Family:  Symbol:  Status:  Roles - leading indicators for how much follow through the major indices might experience**
S&P 500 Index     .SPx   **Warning** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW    EQAL   **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Large-Mid companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000      IWM    **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-Micro companies within the U.S.
Transportation    IYT    **Warning** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail            XRT    **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Bank     KRE     **Watch** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech           IBB    **BEARish** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor     SMH    **Warning** - innovation: a major player technology trends
      ---         ---      ---                                               ---

 **11-Mar-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC   Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====       =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |   Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-07  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   Bullish      2020-08-10  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-07  **|**    2022-03-11
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-25  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   Bullish      2021-10-20  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-17  **|**    2020-11-11
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-03-04  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**   BEARish   2022-03-04  **|**    2020-10-06
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**   BEARish   2022-03-09  **|**    2020-05-22
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   Bullish   2020-06-15  **|** BEARish    2022-03-03  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**   BEARish   2022-03-03  **|**    2020-05-22
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     4        **80%     |**     5      **100%     |**      0        **0%       |**     13       **86.7%     |** 
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----
 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |    Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -1.7%       -3.3%  **|**    -4.8%       111.17  **|**      -11.6%            85  **|** (50d,200d)       -2.8%  **|**        105.16
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -3.7%       -4.4%  **|**    -4.7%       495.65  **|**      -10.3%            85  **|** (50d,200d)       -1.7%  **|**        468.96
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -1.8%       -1.4%  **|**    -2.8%       154.76  **|**       -7.0%            45  **|**  (TP,210d)       -2.8%  **|**        149.52
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -3.9%       -2.9%  **|**    -6.4%       101.13  **|**      -10.7%            46  **|** (50d,200d)       -1.4%  **|**         93.99
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**       0.2%        0.8%  **|**    -4.9%      4451.73  **|**      -10.2%            46  **|**  (TP,210d)       -4.9%  **|**       4204.31
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----

GD_

MapG · March 11, 2022, 5:50pm

**11-Mar-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    Warning     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         Warning       BEARish         Watch          BEARish        Warning__
LastD_Change         |   2022-01-20   |   2022-02-18   |   2022-01-19     2022-01-21     2022-01-13     2022-03-09      2021-11-24     2022-01-24
Since_Change         |       50       |       21       |       51             49             57             2              107             46
Signals(3)/Yr        |        3       |        8       |        6             5               8             9               5              6
%Bullish/Yr          |      81%       |      68%       |      55%             49%           54%             69%            34%            71%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -11%      |      -6%       |      -11%            -8%           -18%            -6%           -19%           -20%
Slope(200)           |       6%       |       0%       |      -11%            2%            -21%            14%           -28%            13%
Last_Price           |    4204.31     |      44.08     |     196.73         252.31          73.23         70.02           120.65         245.79
50-DMA               |    4476.07     |      45.30     |     204.61         262.42          80.56         73.26           131.71         277.15
200-DMA              |    4467.16     |      45.83     |     219.65         261.19          91.21         69.26           153.82         273.22
DMAC(50,200)         |      0.2%      |      -1.1%     |      -6.8%          0.5%          -11.7%          5.8%           -14.4%         1.4%
 
%Off_52wH            |     -12.3%     |      -8.3%     |     -18.9%         -9.9%          -29.7%         -11.1%          -31.5%         -22.4%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |       67       |      116       |      123             66            115             56             214             74
New_52wH/Yr          |       60       |       25       |        6             18             13             16              2              27
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Intermedate-Term Trend indicators give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
4 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
3 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages.
1 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages.
0 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages.

“Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
“Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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