Market Trend Indicators

As of Friday, April 1, 2022

Including the three(x5) used for Allocation: 40% of fifteen indicators are “BEARish”.
Count of new signals in the last 30 days = 4 (One new “Bullish” signals since last week)

PO’s: 2 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
New signal is possible next week.

MAC(10m): 2 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
New signal is possible next week.

DBE(99d,5m): 5 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
New “BEAR” signal is not possible for the next 6 market days.

Other_MAC: (FYI only) 53% of fifteen indicators are “BEARish”.

 
**Modern Family:  Symbol:  Status:  Roles - leading indicators for how much follow through the major indices might experience**
S&P 500 Index     .SPx   **Bullish** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW    EQAL   **Bullish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000      IWM    **Warning** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
Transportation    IYT    **Bullish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail            XRT    **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Bank     KRE     **Watch** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech           IBB    **Warning** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor     SMH    **Bullish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
      ---         ---      ---                                               ---
 **1-Apr-2022       |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC   Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====       =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |   Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   Bullish   2022-03-22  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   Bullish      2020-08-10  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-23  **|**    2022-03-28
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-25  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   Bullish      2021-10-20  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-23  **|**    2022-03-23
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** Bullish    2022-03-23  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**   BEARish   2022-03-25  **|**    2020-10-06
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-24  **|**    2020-05-22
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   Bullish   2022-03-21  **|** Bullish    2022-03-28  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-28  **|**    2020-05-22
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     3        **60%     |**     3      **60%      |**      0        **0%       |**     8        **53.3%     |** 
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----
 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |    Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**       2.0%       -0.4%  **|**    -2.1%       110.94  **|**       -7.5%            99  **|**   (TP,50d)        1.9%  **|**        109.02
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -0.1%       -2.4%  **|**    -0.4%       495.35  **|**       -5.0%            99  **|**   (TP,50d)        2.5%  **|**        493.76
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -1.6%       -1.5%  **|**     1.7%       155.21  **|**       -2.2%            59  **|** (50d,200d)       -0.5%  **|**        158.22
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -3.8%       -3.1%  **|**    -0.3%       101.40  **|**       -4.3%            60  **|**   (TP,50d)        2.7%  **|**        101.37
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**       1.0%        0.7%  **|**     1.4%      4472.33  **|**       -3.8%            60  **|**  (TP,210d)        1.4%  **|**       4545.86
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----

More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

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**1-Apr-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    Bullish     |    Bullish     |    Warning         Bullish       BEARish         Watch          Warning        Bullish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-03-30   |   2022-03-30   |   2022-03-23     2022-03-22     2022-01-13     2022-03-09      2022-03-30     2022-03-30
Since_Change         |        2       |        2       |        9             10             78             23              2              2
Signals(3)/Yr        |        6       |       10       |        7             7               8             9               6              8
%Bullish/Yr          |      77%       |      63%       |      49%             47%           48%             63%            34%            72%
Status MAC(50)       |    Support     |    Support     |    Support         Support      Resistance     Resistance       Support        Support
Status MAC(200)      |    Support     |    Support     |   Resistance       Support      Resistance       Support       Resistance      Support
 
Slope(50)            |       0%       |       4%       |       4%             3%            -5%             -5%            -1%            -3%
Slope(200)           |       3%       |       0%       |      -12%            5%            -25%            16%           -34%             8%
Last_Price           |    4545.86     |      46.91     |     207.57         259.60          75.35         68.24           133.06         265.42
50-DMA               |    4412.34     |      45.06     |     201.25         260.90          77.87         71.94           127.65         266.85
200-DMA              |    4485.67     |      45.82     |     217.82         261.01          89.90         69.35           151.72         274.50
DMAC(50,200)         |      -1.6%     |      -1.7%     |      -7.6%          0.0%          -13.4%          3.7%           -15.9%         -2.8%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -5.2%     |      -2.4%     |     -14.4%         -7.3%          -27.7%         -13.4%          -24.5%         -16.2%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |       88       |      137       |      144             87            136             77             235             95
New_52wH/Yr          |       55       |       23       |        4             12             12             15              2              27
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Intermedate-Term Trend indicators give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
1 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
2 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
1 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
4 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.

  • “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
  • “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

4 Likes

April 3, 2022

Mish’s Daily
By Mish Schneider
Written by Forrest Crist-Ruiz

The past week was a chop fest in the major indices with large intraday price swings.

While the 3 major indices closed roughly flat on Friday, the Russell 2000 (IWM) made a late-day turnaround ending up over 0.8% on the day.

https://marketgauge.com/resources/mishs-daily/if-the-market-…

2 Likes