Market Trend Indicators

MapG · April 1, 2022, 4:53pm

As of Friday, April 1, 2022

Including the three(x5) used for Allocation: 40% of fifteen indicators are “BEARish”.
Count of new signals in the last 30 days = 4 (One new “Bullish” signals since last week)

PO’s: 2 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
New signal is possible next week.

MAC(10m): 2 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
New signal is possible next week.

DBE(99d,5m): 5 of five indicators are “Bullish”.
New “BEAR” signal is not possible for the next 6 market days.

Other_MAC: (FYI only) 53% of fifteen indicators are “BEARish”.

 
**Modern Family:  Symbol:  Status:  Roles - leading indicators for how much follow through the major indices might experience**
S&P 500 Index     .SPx   **Bullish** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW    EQAL   **Bullish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000      IWM    **Warning** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
Transportation    IYT    **Bullish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail            XRT    **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Bank     KRE     **Watch** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech           IBB    **Warning** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor     SMH    **Bullish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
      ---         ---      ---                                               ---

 **1-Apr-2022       |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC   Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====       =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |   Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   Bullish   2022-03-22  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   Bullish      2020-08-10  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-23  **|**    2022-03-28
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-01-25  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   Bullish      2021-10-20  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-23  **|**    2022-03-23
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** Bullish    2022-03-23  **|**   Bullish      2020-09-02  **|**   BEARish   2022-03-25  **|**    2020-10-06
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-15  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-24  **|**    2020-05-22
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   Bullish   2022-03-21  **|** Bullish    2022-03-28  **|**   Bullish      2019-03-13  **|**   Bullish   2022-03-28  **|**    2020-05-22
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     3        **60%     |**     3      **60%      |**      0        **0%       |**     8        **53.3%     |** 
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----
 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |    Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**       2.0%       -0.4%  **|**    -2.1%       110.94  **|**       -7.5%            99  **|**   (TP,50d)        1.9%  **|**        109.02
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -0.1%       -2.4%  **|**    -0.4%       495.35  **|**       -5.0%            99  **|**   (TP,50d)        2.5%  **|**        493.76
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -1.6%       -1.5%  **|**     1.7%       155.21  **|**       -2.2%            59  **|** (50d,200d)       -0.5%  **|**        158.22
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -3.8%       -3.1%  **|**    -0.3%       101.40  **|**       -4.3%            60  **|**   (TP,50d)        2.7%  **|**        101.37
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**       1.0%        0.7%  **|**     1.4%      4472.33  **|**       -3.8%            60  **|**  (TP,210d)        1.4%  **|**       4545.86
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----       -----          -----

GD_

MapG · April 1, 2022, 5:01pm

**1-Apr-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    Bullish     |    Bullish     |    Warning         Bullish       BEARish         Watch          Warning        Bullish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-03-30   |   2022-03-30   |   2022-03-23     2022-03-22     2022-01-13     2022-03-09      2022-03-30     2022-03-30
Since_Change         |        2       |        2       |        9             10             78             23              2              2
Signals(3)/Yr        |        6       |       10       |        7             7               8             9               6              8
%Bullish/Yr          |      77%       |      63%       |      49%             47%           48%             63%            34%            72%
Status MAC(50)       |    Support     |    Support     |    Support         Support      Resistance     Resistance       Support        Support
Status MAC(200)      |    Support     |    Support     |   Resistance       Support      Resistance       Support       Resistance      Support
 
Slope(50)            |       0%       |       4%       |       4%             3%            -5%             -5%            -1%            -3%
Slope(200)           |       3%       |       0%       |      -12%            5%            -25%            16%           -34%             8%
Last_Price           |    4545.86     |      46.91     |     207.57         259.60          75.35         68.24           133.06         265.42
50-DMA               |    4412.34     |      45.06     |     201.25         260.90          77.87         71.94           127.65         266.85
200-DMA              |    4485.67     |      45.82     |     217.82         261.01          89.90         69.35           151.72         274.50
DMAC(50,200)         |      -1.6%     |      -1.7%     |      -7.6%          0.0%          -13.4%          3.7%           -15.9%         -2.8%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -5.2%     |      -2.4%     |     -14.4%         -7.3%          -27.7%         -13.4%          -24.5%         -16.2%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |       88       |      137       |      144             87            136             77             235             95
New_52wH/Yr          |       55       |       23       |        4             12             12             15              2              27
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Intermedate-Term Trend indicators give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
1 - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
2 - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
1 - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
4 - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.

“Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
“Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

MapG · April 3, 2022, 11:42am

April 3, 2022

Mish’s Daily
By Mish Schneider
Written by Forrest Crist-Ruiz

The past week was a chop fest in the major indices with large intraday price swings.

While the 3 major indices closed roughly flat on Friday, the Russell 2000 (IWM) made a late-day turnaround ending up over 0.8% on the day.

https://marketgauge.com/resources/mishs-daily/if-the-market-…

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