Market Trend Indicators

MapG · August 19, 2022, 6:16pm

**As of**             **Friday, August 19, 2022**
 
**Status of the three(x5) used for Allocation:      87%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
  Count of new signals in the last 30 days =   **2        (Zero new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                             2**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is   **possible** next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                         0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **not likely** next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                      0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
            Next possible 99 day new high is   **-3.8%**  %Off_Hi(99)
 
**Other_MAC: (FYI only)                             67%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
---                                               ---                      ---

 **19-Aug-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   Bullish   2022-07-27  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   Bullish   2022-08-04  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-07  **|**  Bullish   2022-08-02  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     3        **60%     |**     5      **100%     |**      5        **100%      |**     10      **66.7%     |** 
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----      -----          -----
 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**       7.4%        5.7%  **|**    -1.2%       105.50  **|**       -3.8%           196  **|**  (TP,50d)        7.5%  **|**        104.04
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**       5.6%        2.4%  **|**    -0.8%       475.62  **|**       -4.2%           196  **|**  (TP,50d)        7.9%  **|**        470.46
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -1.1%       -3.3%  **|**    -1.3%       151.61  **|**       -4.9%           156  **|**  (TP,50d)        6.6%  **|**        149.44
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -5.9%       -7.8%  **|**    -2.8%        96.87  **|**       -6.7%           157  **|**  (TP,50d)        7.1%  **|**         93.98
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -2.4%       -3.2%  **|**    -2.2%      4331.93  **|**       -6.5%           157  **|**  (TP,50d)        6.9%  **|**       4228.48
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----      -----          -----

GD_

MapG · August 19, 2022, 6:18pm

**Modern Family:**   **Symbol:    Status:    Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
S&P 500 Index           .SPx     **Warning**   - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW          EQAL     **Warning**   - gauge the health of many Large-Mid companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000            IWM      **Warning**   - gauge the health of many Small-Micro companies within the U.S.
Transportation          IYT      **Warning**   - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail                  XRT      **Warning**   - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Bank           KRE      **Warning**   - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech                 IBB      **Warning**   - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor           SMH      **Warning**   - innovation: a major player technology trends
      ---               ---        ---                                             ---

**19-Aug-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    Warning     |    Warning     |    Warning         Warning       Warning         Warning        Warning        Warning__
LastD_Change         |   2022-07-25   |   2022-08-02   |   2022-07-25     2022-07-25     2022-07-25     2022-07-25      2022-06-29     2022-07-25
Since_Change         |       25       |       17       |       25             25             25             25              51             25
Signals(3)/Yr        |        9       |       10       |        6             8               7             9               5              8
%Bullish/Yr          |      42%       |      39%       |      25%             28%           12%             39%            12%            39%
Status MAC(50)       |    Support     |    Support     |    Support         Support       Support         Support        Support        Support
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      14%       |      12%       |      18%             17%           16%             16%            19%            18%
Slope(200)           |      -21%      |      -15%      |      -28%           -25%           -49%           -24%           -27%           -39%
Last_Price           |    4228.48     |      43.65     |     194.65         242.94          69.42         66.84           127.65         234.99
50-DMA               |    3966.78     |      41.14     |     180.40         224.20          63.83         61.41           122.24         222.18
200-DMA              |    4320.86     |      44.28     |     199.02         249.34          76.60         67.62           130.67         258.81
DMAC(50,200)         |      -8.2%     |      -7.1%     |      -9.4%         -10.1%         -16.7%         -9.2%           -6.5%          -14.2%
 
52wL                 |    3666.77     |      38.38     |     163.90         207.48          58.16         56.83           105.82         195.99
52wH                 |    4796.56     |      48.05     |     242.56         279.97         104.16         78.78           176.00         316.56
%Off_52wH            |      -12%      |      -9%       |      -20%           -13%           -33%           -15%           -27%           -26%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      1900-01-00     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      228       |      277       |      284             227           276             217           44792           235
New_52wH/Yr          |       22       |       10       |        4             2               5             12              0              19
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
0% - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
100% - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
50% - “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
50% - “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

MapG · August 24, 2022, 7:51am

Grain Prices Suggest Inflation Far From Peaking

August 23, 2022
Mish’s Daily
By Mish Schneider

See charts(3)
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers:

These same factors have increased agricultural commodity prices in recent weeks. The grains appear to be slowly starting to recover in price from a previous rebound earlier this year.

https://marketgauge.com/resources/mishs-daily/grain-prices-s…

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