Market Trend Indicators

MapG · August 5, 2022, 5:05pm

**As of**             **Friday, August 5, 2022**
 
**Status of the three(x5) used for Allocation:      87%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
  Count of new signals in the last 30 days =   **2        (One new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                             2**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is   **possible** next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                         0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **not likely** next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                      0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
            Next possible 99 day new high is   **-8.0%**  %Off_Hi(99)
 
**Other_MAC: (FYI only)                             67%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
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 **5-Aug-2022       |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   Bullish   2022-07-27  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   Bullish   2022-08-04  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-07  **|**  Bullish   2022-08-02  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     3        **60%     |**     5      **100%     |**      5        **100%      |**     10      **66.7%     |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**       4.0%        1.7%  **|**    -4.4%       105.85  **|**       -8.0%           186  **|**  (TP,50d)        4.9%  **|**        101.62
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**       1.0%       -3.1%  **|**    -4.6%       476.73  **|**       -9.1%           186  **|**  (TP,50d)        4.7%  **|**        456.97
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -5.3%       -6.8%  **|**    -4.2%       151.81  **|**       -9.2%           146  **|**  (TP,50d)        3.9%  **|**        145.88
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -9.6%      -11.0%  **|**    -5.5%        97.18  **|**      -10.6%           147  **|**  (TP,50d)        5.2%  **|**         92.14
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -4.8%       -5.4%  **|**    -4.7%      4340.34  **|**      -10.1%           147  **|**  (TP,50d)        5.0%  **|**       4145.19
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GD_

MapG · August 5, 2022, 5:07pm

**Modern Family:**   **Symbol:    Status:    Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
S&P 500 Index           .SPx     **Warning**   - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW          EQAL     **Warning**   - gauge the health of many Large-Mid companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000            IWM      **Warning**   - gauge the health of many Small-Micro companies within the U.S.
Transportation          IYT      **Warning**   - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail                  XRT      **Warning**   - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Bank           KRE      **Warning**   - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech                 IBB      **Warning**   - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor           SMH      **Warning**   - innovation: a major player technology trends
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**5-Aug-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    Warning     |    Warning     |    Warning         Warning       Warning         Warning        Warning        Warning__
LastD_Change         |   2022-07-25   |   2022-08-02   |   2022-07-25     2022-07-25     2022-07-25     2022-07-25      2022-06-29     2022-07-25
Since_Change         |       11       |        3       |       11             11             11             11              37             11
Signals(3)/Yr        |        9       |       11       |        6             8               7             10              5              8
%Bullish/Yr          |      46%       |      41%       |      25%             28%           16%             40%            16%            43%
Status MAC(50)       |    Support     |    Support     |    Support         Support       Support         Support        Support        Support
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |       1%       |      -4%       |       2%             1%            -2%             0%             13%            -1%
Slope(200)           |      -22%      |      -17%      |      -32%           -26%           -54%           -25%           -33%           -39%
Last_Price           |    4145.19     |      42.84     |     190.80         239.35          66.91         64.04           131.44         243.62
50-DMA               |    3942.03     |      41.12     |     178.25         221.66          62.92         60.84           119.30         222.46
200-DMA              |    4337.96     |      44.44     |     200.62         250.53          77.80         67.89           132.09         260.39
DMAC(50,200)         |      -9.1%     |      -7.5%     |     -11.1%         -11.5%         -19.1%         -10.4%          -9.7%          -14.6%
 
52wL                 |    3666.77     |      38.38     |     163.90         207.48          58.16         56.83           105.82         195.99
52wH                 |    4796.56     |      48.05     |     242.56         279.97         104.16         78.78           176.21         316.56
%Off_52wH            |      -14%      |      -11%      |      -21%           -15%           -36%           -19%           -25%           -23%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      214       |      263       |      270             213           262             203            361            221
New_52wH/Yr          |       29       |       10       |        4             2               5             12              2              19
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The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
0% - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
100% - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
50% - “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
50% - “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_