Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1 
**As of**           **Friday, July 29, 2022**
 
**Status of the three(x5) used for Allocation:    93%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
  Count of new signals in the last 30 days =   **1      (One new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                             1**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **possible** next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                         0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **unlikely** next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                      0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
            Next possible 99 day new high is   **-8.6%**  %Off_Hi(99)
 
**Other_MAC: (FYI only)                           73%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
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 **29-Jul-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   Bullish   2022-07-27  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-07  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     4        **80%     |**     5      **100%     |**      5        **100%      |**     11      **73.3%     |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**       2.0%       -1.8%  **|**    -4.5%       106.08  **|**       -8.6%           182  **|**  (TP,50d)        5.6%  **|**        101.59
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -2.3%       -5.2%  **|**    -4.3%       477.46  **|**       -9.2%           182  **|**  (TP,50d)        5.6%  **|**        458.63
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -6.8%       -8.6%  **|**    -4.3%       151.95  **|**       -9.3%           142  **|**  (TP,50d)        4.1%  **|**        145.84
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**     -11.0%      -11.2%  **|**    -6.3%        97.36  **|**      -11.3%           142  **|**  (TP,50d)        5.1%  **|**         91.53
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -5.9%       -6.3%  **|**    -5.3%      4345.29  **|**      -10.7%           142  **|**  (TP,50d)        5.1%  **|**       4130.29
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More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

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2 
**Modern Family:**   **Symbol:    Status:    Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
S&P 500 Index           .SPx     **Warning**   - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW          EQAL     **BEARish**   - gauge the health of many Large-Mid companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000            IWM      **Warning**   - gauge the health of many Small-Micro companies within the U.S.
Transportation          IYT      **Warning**   - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail                  XRT      **Warning**   - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Bank           KRE      **Warning**   - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech                 IBB      **Warning**   - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor           SMH      **Warning**   - innovation: a major player technology trends
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**29-Jul-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    Warning     |    BEARish     |    Warning         Warning       Warning         Warning        Warning        Warning__
LastD_Change         |   2022-07-25   |   2022-04-28   |   2022-07-25     2022-07-25     2022-07-25     2022-07-25      2022-06-29     2022-07-25
Since_Change         |        4       |       92       |        4             4               4             4               30             4
Signals(3)/Yr        |        9       |       10       |        6             8               7             10              5              8
%Bullish/Yr          |      48%       |      41%       |      25%             28%           18%             40%            18%            45%
Status MAC(50)       |    Support     |   Resistance   |    Support         Support       Support         Support        Support        Support
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -2%       |      -7%       |      -2%             -4%           -4%             -3%            11%            -8%
Slope(200)           |      -21%      |      -17%      |      -32%           -26%           -54%           -25%           -35%           -38%
Last_Price           |    4130.29     |      42.47     |     187.25         232.91          63.61         63.78           124.08         237.16
50-DMA               |    3921.61     |      41.05     |     177.02         220.30          62.48         60.53           118.13         221.09
200-DMA              |    4346.05     |      44.54     |     201.52         251.08          78.45         68.06           132.84         260.89
DMAC(50,200)         |      -9.8%     |      -7.8%     |     -12.2%         -12.3%         -20.4%         -11.1%          -11.1%         -15.3%
 
52wL                 |    3666.77     |      38.38     |     163.90         207.48          58.16         56.83           105.82         195.99
52wH                 |    4796.56     |      48.05     |     242.56         279.97         104.16         78.78           176.21         316.56
%Off_52wH            |      -14%      |      -12%      |      -23%           -17%           -39%           -19%           -30%           -25%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      207       |      256       |      263             206           255             196            354            214
New_52wH/Yr          |       30       |       10       |        4             2               5             12              2              23
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Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
13% - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
88% - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
44% - “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
56% - “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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