Market Trend Indicators

MapG · July 8, 2022, 5:11pm

**As of**           **Friday, July 8, 2022**
 
**Status of the three(x5) used for Allocation:    100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
  Count of new signals in the last 30 days =   **1      (Zero new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                             0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **unlikely** next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                         0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **unlikely** next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                      0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
            Next possible 99 day new high is   **-14.4%**  %Off_Hi(99)
 
**Other_MAC: (FYI only)                           100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
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 **Modern Family:  Status   Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
 S&P 500 Index (.SPx)  **BEARish** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW (EQAL)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
   Russell 2000 (IWM)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
 Transportation (IYT)  **BEARish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
         Retail (XRT)  **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
  Regional Bank (KRE)  **BEARish** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
        BioTech (IBB)  **Warning** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
  SemiConductor (SMH)  **BEARish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
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 **8-Jul-2022       |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-06-13  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-04  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-07  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     5        **100%     |**     5      **100%     |**      5        **100%      |**     15      **100.0%    |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -3.5%       -7.6%  **|**   -12.5%       107.07  **|**      -15.3%           167  **|**  (TP,50d)       -3.2%  **|**         93.74
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -8.3%       -8.8%  **|**   -12.1%       481.64  **|**      -15.8%           167  **|**  (TP,50d)       -3.5%  **|**        423.35
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -7.8%       -7.8%  **|**   -10.4%       153.01  **|**      -14.4%           127  **|**  (TP,50d)       -3.5%  **|**        137.04
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**     -11.2%      -11.4%  **|**   -12.3%        98.41  **|**      -16.1%           128  **|**  (TP,50d)       -2.0%  **|**         86.37
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -7.3%       -7.1%  **|**   -11.1%      4382.41  **|**      -15.5%           128  **|**  (TP,50d)       -1.9%  **|**       3899.38
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GD_

MapG · July 8, 2022, 5:12pm

**8-Jul-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    BEARish     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         BEARish        Warning        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-27   |   2022-04-28   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-04-28      2022-06-29     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |       72       |       71       |       87             92            176             71              9              88
Signals(3)/Yr        |        8       |       11       |        6             7               6             9               5              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      54%       |      44%       |      28%             28%           24%             40%            24%            51%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -10%      |      -11%      |      -8%            -15%           -17%            -8%             3%           -16%
Slope(200)           |      -17%      |      -13%      |      -31%           -20%           -50%           -20%           -40%           -30%
Last_Price           |    3899.38     |      40.09     |     175.59         215.96          61.23         59.27           126.66         208.64
50-DMA               |    3972.65     |      41.74     |     178.26         225.81          64.70         60.99           115.56         224.36
200-DMA              |    4379.56     |      44.90     |     204.81         253.30          80.73         68.65           135.66         263.78
DMAC(50,200)         |      -9.3%     |      -7.0%     |     -13.0%         -10.9%         -19.9%         -11.2%          -14.8%         -14.9%
 
%Off_52wH            |      -19%      |      -17%      |      -28%           -23%           -41%           -25%           -28%           -34%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      186       |      235       |      242             185           234             175            333            193
New_52wH/Yr          |       34       |       10       |        4             2               5             12              2              23
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The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
88% - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
13% - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
6% - “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
94% - “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

MapG · July 14, 2022, 10:10am

Fidelity Viewpoints®: Market Sense
The latest headlines, the current market conditions, and what it all means for you.
Bear Market Basics

https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/live-PI?

For those of us that need a review of the basics. The video is 22.20 min