Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1 
**As of**           **Friday, July 15, 2022**
 
**Status of the three(x5) used for Allocation:    100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
  Count of new signals in the last 30 days =   **0      (Zero new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                             0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **unlikely** next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                         0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **unlikely** next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                      0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
            Next possible 99 day new high is   **-15.2%**  %Off_Hi(99)
 
**Other_MAC: (FYI only)                           100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
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 **15-Jul-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-06-13  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-04  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-07  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     5        **100%     |**     5      **100%     |**      5        **100%      |**     15      **100.0%    |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -3.4%       -5.9%  **|**   -13.2%       106.64  **|**      -16.0%           172  **|**  (TP,50d)       -3.5%  **|**         93.14
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -6.6%       -8.8%  **|**   -12.9%       479.80  **|**      -16.6%           172  **|**  (TP,50d)       -3.7%  **|**        420.32
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -9.1%       -8.7%  **|**   -11.4%       152.53  **|**      -15.2%           132  **|**  (TP,50d)       -3.8%  **|**        135.85
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**     -11.1%      -11.5%  **|**   -13.2%        97.98  **|**      -16.9%           133  **|**  (TP,50d)       -2.4%  **|**         85.43
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -7.5%       -7.4%  **|**   -11.9%      4366.64  **|**      -16.3%           133  **|**  (TP,50d)       -2.2%  **|**       3863.16
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----      -----          -----

More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

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2 
 **Modern Family:  Status   Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
 S&P 500 Index (.SPx)  **BEARish** - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW (EQAL)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Large-MidCap companies within the U.S.
   Russell 2000 (IWM)  **BEARish** - gauge the health of many Small-MicroCap companies within the U.S.
 Transportation (IYT)  **BEARish** - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
         Retail (XRT)  **BEARish** - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
  Regional Bank (KRE)  **BEARish** - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
        BioTech (IBB)  **Warning** - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
  SemiConductor (SMH)  **BEARish** - innovation: a major player technology trends
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**15-Jul-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    BEARish     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         BEARish        Warning        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-27   |   2022-04-28   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-04-28      2022-06-29     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |       79       |       78       |       94             99            183             78              16             95
Signals(3)/Yr        |        8       |       11       |        6             7               6             9               5              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      52%       |      42%       |      26%             28%           22%             40%            22%            49%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -8%       |      -11%      |      -7%            -13%           -14%            -8%             8%           -17%
Slope(200)           |      -19%      |      -15%      |      -32%           -22%           -52%           -23%           -38%           -33%
Last_Price           |    3863.16     |      39.52     |     173.09         214.40          60.49         58.73           123.25         214.79
50-DMA               |    3936.54     |      41.31     |     176.66         222.58          63.48         60.50           116.03         221.63
200-DMA              |    4364.72     |      44.75     |     203.51         252.38          79.84         68.45           134.51         262.23
DMAC(50,200)         |      -9.8%     |      -7.7%     |     -13.2%         -11.8%         -20.5%         -11.6%          -13.7%         -15.5%
 
52wL                 |    3666.77     |      38.38     |     163.90         207.48          58.16         56.83           105.82         195.99
52wH                 |    4796.56     |      48.05     |     242.56         279.97         104.16         78.78           176.21         316.56
%Off_52wH            |      -19%      |      -18%      |      -29%           -23%           -42%            NL            -30%           -32%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      193       |      242       |      249             192           241             182            340            200
New_52wH/Yr          |       32       |       10       |        4             2               5             12              2              23
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The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
88% - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
13% - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
6% - “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
94% - “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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3

The big default? The dozen countries in the danger zone
BY MARC JONES, REUTERS - 1:22 PM ET 7/15/2022

https://www.fidelity.com/news/article/top-news/202207150833R…

Crisis veterans hope many can still dodge default, especially if global markets calm and the IMF rows in with support, but these are the countries at risk.

ARGENTINA
UKRAINE
TUNISIA
GHANA
EGYPT
KENYA
ETHIOPIA
EL SALVADOR
PAKISTAN
BELARUS
ECUADOR
NIGERIA

5 Likes