Market Trend Indicators

MapG · July 22, 2022, 4:50pm

**As of**           **Friday, July 22, 2022**
 
**Status of the three(x5) used for Allocation:    100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
  Count of new signals in the last 30 days =   **0      (Zero new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                             0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **possible** next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                         0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **unlikely** next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                      0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
            Next possible 99 day new high is   **-11.6%**  %Off_Hi(99)
 
**Other_MAC: (FYI only)                           100%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
---                                             ---                      ---

 **22-Jul-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-06-13  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-04  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-04-12  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-23  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-07  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  BEARish   2022-05-05  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     5        **100%     |**     5      **100%     |**      5        **100%      |**     15      **100.0%    |** 
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----      -----          -----
 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -1.5%       -4.2%  **|**    -8.5%       106.35  **|**      -11.6%           177  **|**  (TP,50d)        1.7%  **|**         97.18
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**      -4.8%       -7.0%  **|**    -8.4%       478.54  **|**      -12.4%           177  **|**  (TP,50d)        1.5%  **|**        437.16
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -8.5%       -9.4%  **|**    -7.6%       152.21  **|**      -11.9%           137  **|**  (TP,50d)        0.6%  **|**        140.34
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**     -11.0%      -11.2%  **|**    -9.8%        97.65  **|**      -13.9%           137  **|**  (TP,50d)        1.5%  **|**         87.83
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -6.9%       -7.1%  **|**    -8.8%      4355.02  **|**      -13.5%           137  **|**  (TP,50d)        1.4%  **|**       3961.63
       -----            -----       -----        -----      -----         -----         -----        -----      -----          -----

GD_

MapG · July 22, 2022, 4:52pm

**Modern Family:**   **Symbol:    Status:    Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
S&P 500 Index           .SPx     **BEARish**   - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW          EQAL     **BEARish**   - gauge the health of many Large-Mid companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000            IWM      **BEARish**   - gauge the health of many Small-Micro companies within the U.S.
Transportation          IYT      **BEARish**   - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail                  XRT      **BEARish**   - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Bank           KRE      **BEARish**   - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech                 IBB      **Warning**   - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor           SMH      **BEARish**   - innovation: a major player technology trends
      ---               ---        ---                                             ---

**22-Jul-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    BEARish     |    BEARish     |    BEARish         BEARish       BEARish         BEARish        Warning        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-04-27   |   2022-04-28   |   2022-04-12     2022-04-07     2022-01-13     2022-04-28      2022-06-29     2022-04-11
Since_Change         |       86       |       85       |      101             106           190             85              23            102
Signals(3)/Yr        |        8       |       10       |        5             7               6             9               5              7
%Bullish/Yr          |      50%       |      41%       |      25%             28%           20%             40%            20%            47%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance       Support       Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |      -5%       |      -9%       |      -4%             -8%           -7%             -5%            11%           -13%
Slope(200)           |      -20%      |      -16%      |      -32%           -25%           -53%           -24%           -37%           -36%
Last_Price           |    3961.63     |      40.81     |     179.51         222.68          63.76         61.21           122.62         226.77
50-DMA               |    3919.05     |      41.08     |     176.32         220.93          62.89         60.31           116.95         220.86
200-DMA              |    4354.81     |      44.64     |     202.47         251.74          79.15         68.24           133.62         261.48
DMAC(50,200)         |     -10.0%     |      -8.0%     |     -12.9%         -12.2%         -20.5%         -11.6%          -12.5%         -15.5%
 
52wL                 |    3666.77     |      38.38     |     163.90         207.48          58.16         56.83           105.82         195.99
52wH                 |    4796.56     |      48.05     |     242.56         279.97         104.16         78.78           176.21         316.56
%Off_52wH            |      -17%      |      -15%      |      -26%           -20%           -39%           -22%           -30%           -28%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-08-09     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      200       |      249       |      256             199           248             189            347            207
New_52wH/Yr          |       32       |       10       |        4             2               5             12              2              23
      ---                   ---              ---              ---             ---           ---             ---            ---            ---

The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
88% - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
13% - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
6% - “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
94% - “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

MapG · July 28, 2022, 7:39am

Granny Retail and Granddad Russell Dish Post FOMC
July 27, 2022
Mish’s Daily
By Mish Schneider

Sure, we rallied pre FOMC and continued to rally thereafter.

The market at this point hears that Powell didn’t go 1.00 BPS ergo is more concerned about the economy rather than inflation.

In other words, no worries on recession but then again, no worries on inflation either.

https://marketgauge.com/resources/mishs-daily/granny-retail-…

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