Market Trend Indicators

Investing Strategies Mechanical Investing
1 
**As of**             **Friday, September 16, 2022**
 
**Status of the three(x5) used for Allocation:      93%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
  Count of new signals in the last 30 days =   **2        (Two new signals since last week)**

**PO's:                                             1**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is   **possible** next week.
 
**MAC(10m):                                         0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
                               New signal is  **not likely** next week.
 
**DBE(99d,5m):                                      0**  of five indicators are "Bullish".
            Next possible 99 day new high is   **-3.9%**  %Off_Hi(99)
 
**Other_MAC: (FYI only)                             67%**  of fifteen indicators are "BEARish".
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 **16-Sep-2022      |     PO's        PO's     |  MAC(10m)    MAC(10m)   |  DBE(99,105)  DBE(99,105)   |  Other_MAC  Other_MAC   |    Buy&Hold**
       =====            =====       =====        =====      =====         =====         =====        =====      =====          =====
 **Status Summary     |    Status    LastD_Chg   |   Status    LastD_Chg   |    Status       LastD_Chg   |  Last_MAC   LastD_Chg   |  Last_Chg(TTM)**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**   BEARish   2022-09-14  **|** BEARish    2022-01-31  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-06
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**   Bullish   2022-08-04  **|** BEARish    2022-02-01  **|**   BEARish      2022-04-11  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-12
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-09-13  **|** BEARish    2022-05-05  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-07  **|**  Bullish   2022-08-02  **|**    2022-05-11
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**   BEARish   2022-02-24  **|** BEARish    2022-02-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-04-28
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**   BEARish   2022-04-29  **|** BEARish    2022-04-25  **|**   BEARish      2022-06-06  **|**  Bullish   2022-07-26  **|**    2022-05-11
**Cash_Alloc(Eq-Wt) =  |**     4        **80%     |**     5      **100%     |**      5        **100%      |**     10      **66.7%     |** 
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 **Price Derivatives   |  PPO(Inter)    PPO(Slo)  |  (TP,SMA)  SMA(TP,210)  |  %Off_Hi(99)  Since_Hi(99)  |   Last_MAC    Last_MAC  |     Last_Price**
SP600 (IJR) Daily    **|**      -3.1%       -1.1%  **|**    -9.9%       103.84  **|**       -7.1%           215  **|**  (TP,50d)       -5.3%  **|**         93.96
SP400 (MDY) Daily    **|**       0.7%        1.4%  **|**    -7.8%       469.39  **|**       -4.0%           215  **|**  (TP,50d)       -3.6%  **|**        433.23
SP500EW (RSP) Daily  **|**      -0.4%       -1.0%  **|**    -7.8%       150.13  **|**       -3.9%           175  **|**  (TP,50d)       -3.3%  **|**        138.75
SP1500 (ITOT) Daily  **|**      -2.4%       -4.3%  **|**    -9.8%        95.41  **|**       -4.7%           176  **|**  (TP,50d)       -4.1%  **|**         86.30
SP500 (.SPx) Daily   **|**      -3.3%       -3.0%  **|**    -9.7%      4277.22  **|**       -4.8%           176  **|**  (TP,50d)       -4.4%  **|**       3873.33
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More detail: TMF Foolish Workshop
https://discussion.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=35013503
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2021-347…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2020-343…
https://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2019-341…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2018-3294…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2017-3254…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2016-3206…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-2015-3156…
http://discussion.fool.com/market-trend-indicators-for-mi-screen…

GD_

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2 
**Modern Family:**   **Symbol:    Status:    Roles (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)**
S&P 500 Index           .SPx     **BEARish**   - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW          EQAL     **Warning**   - gauge the health of many Large-Mid companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000            IWM      **BEARish**   - gauge the health of many Small-Micro companies within the U.S.
Transportation          IYT      **Warning**   - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail                  XRT      **BEARish**   - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Bank           KRE      **Warning**   - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech                 IBB      **BEARish**   - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor           SMH      **BEARish**   - innovation: a major player technology trends
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**16-Sep-2022** |  Market Index  |  Market Index  |  ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily   ModernFamily
Family Titles:       |  Large Blend   |    Mid Blend   |   *"Grandpa"       "Tran"        "Grandma"   "Prodigal Son"  "Big Brother"    "Sister"*
Index: (daily)       |      SP500     |    R1000EW     |      R2000     Transportation     Retail     Regional Bank      BioTech     SemiConductor
**Symbol:              |      .SPX      |      EQAL      |      IWM             IYT           XRT             KRE            IBB            SMH**
                                
__Status:(3)*          |    BEARish     |    Warning     |    BEARish         Warning       BEARish         Warning        BEARish        BEARish__
LastD_Change         |   2022-09-06   |   2022-08-02   |   2022-09-08     2022-07-25     2022-09-07     2022-07-25      2022-09-01     2022-09-01
Since_Change         |       10       |       45       |        8             53              9             53              15             15
Signals(3)/Yr        |       10       |       10       |        6             8               5             9               6              9
%Bullish/Yr          |      34%       |      31%       |      21%             28%            9%             32%             4%            32%
Status MAC(50)       |   Resistance   |    Support     |   Resistance       Support      Resistance       Support       Resistance     Resistance
Status MAC(200)      |   Resistance   |   Resistance   |   Resistance     Resistance     Resistance     Resistance      Resistance     Resistance
 
Slope(50)            |       3%       |       5%       |       6%             7%             6%             7%              0%            -4%
Slope(200)           |      -19%      |      -13%      |      -20%           -22%           -40%           -21%           -18%           -39%
Last_Price           |    3873.33     |      40.66     |     178.99         215.64          62.49         62.95           122.96         203.91
50-DMA               |    4041.87     |      41.98     |     185.59         231.10          65.12         63.15           125.63         224.21
200-DMA              |    4258.27     |      43.78     |     194.34         245.31          73.17         66.61           127.70         250.56
DMAC(50,200)         |      -5.1%     |      -4.1%     |      -4.5%         -5.8%          -11.0%         -5.2%           -1.6%          -10.5%
 
52wL                 |    3666.77     |      38.38     |     163.90         207.48          58.16         56.83           105.82         195.99
52wH                 |    4796.56     |      48.05     |     242.56         279.97         104.16         78.78           173.92         316.56
%Off_52wH            |      -19%      |      -15%      |      -26%           -23%           -40%           -20%           -29%           -36%
LastD_52wH           |   2022-01-03   |   2021-11-15   |   2021-11-08     2022-01-04     2021-11-16     2022-01-14      2021-09-23     2021-12-27
Since_52wH           |      256       |      305       |      312             255           304             245            358            263
                     |                |                |
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The Economic Modern Family (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for “Market Analysis”.
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My Modern Family signals(3) are not strictly identical to the MarketGauge.com “Phases Tutorial”(6).
63% - “BEARish” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages while the 50-DMA is below the 200-DMA.
38% - “Cautionary Warning” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Cautionary Watch” phase is when the price(5d) is below the 50-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
0% - “Bullish” phase is when the price(5d) is above the 50-Day and 200-Day moving averages for at least 5 days.
19% - “Support” is the level at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
81% - “Resistance” is the level at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)

GD_

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