Another post headed for disappearance.
Methinks attrition is having its effect upon the Ukraine.
I believe Zelensky also is willing to accept foreign fighters.
Any takers?
Ukrainian men before the war had a horrible mortality rate. Allowing 60+ men to fight may spare some younger people. I think pre-war the life span was to age 54.
Ukraine and Russia have similar numbers of troops and reservists. Filling in the lines for Ukraine is more than possible, but having fewer raw teens active duty means a better survival rate for everyone. Better run military.
Our propaganda talks about how Ukrainians are trying to survive and their lives have value. Our propaganda never says as much about Russian soldiers who are dying at a faster rate. If Ukrainian lives matter then the message means they are worried about fighting in a bloodbath.
Pleeeease. That is all the Main Stream Mdeia talks about.
“In war, truth is so precious that she should always be attended by a bodyguard of lies” Winston Churchill.
The Captain
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What amazes me is Ukraine drafts men at 25, lowered from 27 last year. In the US, guys were drafted at 19, so most had time to clear high school. Why does Ukraine draft people so old?
Steve
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Ukraine has a severe demographics problem. Lots of old people, not many young people, such that they cannot afford to lose their cohort of young people in battle. Russia has the same problem, but probably even worse. Peter Zeihan postulated (before the war, to his credit) that Russia needed to launch its war of expansion while they still had a young enough population to fight. I don’t know how much demographics actually factored into it, but it sounds plausible.
I’m still following the ISW updates. Russia is sustaining on the order of 20,000 casualties a month, but they appear to be able to generate that number of new forces. And likely will be able to continue to do so for about another year.
I haven’t seen similar analysis for Ukraine, except Ukraine does not appear to be able to regenerate forces equal to its losses. So their situation is a little more critical in that regard. Russia is running very low on armored vehicles. Assaults with armored vehicle support are rare. Instead Russia troops enter the battlefield on ATVs and e-bikes and try to flood the zone with superior numbers.
Russia doesn’t have much to show for its big numeric and firepower advantages. We had an ongoing Urkaine thread which got locked, unfortunately. About this time last year, there was a lot of talk that Russia was threatening the strategic logistical hub of Pokrovsk. Last fall, I made a BMB prediction that at current rates of advance, Russia would capture Pokrovsk no sooner than January.
As of today, Russia still has not captured Pokrovsk and is just now beginning to reach the outskirts of town.
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Alrighty, you just spawned a new “Plan Steve”. If you don’t like it, remember, it’s all your fault.
Invite each 19-25 year old draftee to run off several…umm…“samples”. which are then kept in cold storage. If he is killed in service, his samples are offered to young women with the “opportunity to bear the sons and daughters of Ukrainian heroes”, maybe with a financial sweetener, for the young woman to engage in a “posthumous” marriage, so the young man knows that, if he is killed, his name and bloodline continues.
Steve
3 Likes
You missed the point. No one here in the United States cares about the Russian soldiers being killed. Other than Russian immigrants and missing Eastern Europeans